date,I_in,S,I,I_obs,incidence,incidence_obs,stringency,N 2020-03-01,30.3753506834277,8401730,9,9,,,19.44,8401739 2020-03-02,36.8326046194806,8401696.49963772,10.9132818516214,15,,,19.44,8401739 2020-03-03,44.6618540955428,8401655.87801849,13.2331059230929,24.5,,,25,8401739 2020-03-04,54.154282186484,8401606.62221394,16.045763621625,34,,,25,8401739 2020-03-05,65.6627157421217,8401546.89827217,19.4558188712223,24,,,25,8401739 2020-03-06,79.6146024513873,8401474.4832902,23.589956923558,100,,,25,8401739 2020-03-07,96.5276855268776,8401386.68320183,28.601634253522,54,4.85410336247438,3.10054858881001,25,8401739 2020-03-08,117.028920499166,8401280.23331916,34.6766917122696,69,5.88547995981618,3.8146864595532,25,8401739 2020-03-09,141.877280851591,8401151.17807148,42.0401237974881,37,7.13575298343796,4.07653701215903,25,8401739 2020-03-10,171.991216842057,8400994.72568085,50.9642323245233,117,8.65126498335268,5.17749956288811,25,8401739 2020-03-11,208.481665269378,8400805.07268432,61.7784331502342,161,10.4881154625558,6.68909138929453,25,8401739 2020-03-12,252.691656291722,8400575.19224138,74.8810297797115,324,12.7141896187465,10.2597807430105,25,8401739 2020-03-13,306.243723767233,8400296.57904043,90.7533169787216,487,15.4115969211615,14.865970009304,33.33,8401739 2020-03-14,371.096491708287,8399958.94232804,109.976429314531,220,18.6795966314764,16.8417514516935,33.33,8401739 2020-03-15,449.611969889697,8399549.83713114,133.251400816301,841,22.6380991437602,26.0303253885892,33.33,8401739 2020-03-16,544.635227131881,8399054.22213837,161.422947457888,670.5,27.4318441801186,33.5704310738527,44.44,8401739 2020-03-17,659.223880965711,8398453.53457901,195.844671766345,500,33.2310324686819,38.1290111487634,73.15,8401739 2020-03-18,791.586021293398,8397727.94684677,236.577516646241,328,40.1713141892164,40.1166948889986,73.15,8401739 2020-03-19,932.333708632765,8396863.71796859,280.940960062174,1047,48.2606163246558,48.722056231454,73.15,8401739 2020-03-20,1042.75296615933,8395861.93836003,322.404963835776,1219,57.0267686937319,57.4345382545209,73.15,8401739 2020-03-21,1097.67253831152,8394789.70698418,340.013666192095,1281,65.6746932079692,70.0628762688296,73.15,8401739 2020-03-22,1145.74394568421,8393664.71676659,356.536423476871,899,73.960263323805,70.7532095438813,73.15,8401739 2020-03-23,1178.73935921218,8392496.52157386,369.108288815082,1321,81.5075595690263,78.4956542925221,73.15,8401739 2020-03-24,1189.25257469149,8391305.11721929,374.962468282886,1082,87.8161189485283,85.422791638731,73.15,8401739 2020-03-25,1174.92579994995,8390115.6189993,372.803004780568,998,92.3787431702108,93.3973311953633,73.15,8401739 2020-03-26,1138.99619120764,8388952.71757741,363.104878286185,914,94.8385015913528,91.8143255818825,73.15,8401739 2020-03-27,1089.5282638591,8387835.23627069,347.997891205499,1117,95.3952351163978,90.6002912016191,73.15,8401739 2020-03-28,1035.7759913812,8386771.89299269,330.871234126481,1148,94.6585239792114,89.0172855881384,73.15,8401739 2020-03-29,983.157931987873,8385762.6234741,314.100570363387,753,92.7233768186493,87.2795501026633,73.15,8401739 2020-03-30,932.876142729813,8384804.79834068,298.070524895568,1093,89.7970395867695,84.5658261938392,73.15,8401739 2020-03-31,884.862868691951,8383896.1149931,282.760073063652,683,86.1741026447919,79.816809353397,73.15,8401739 2020-04-01,839.048201107622,8383034.33971746,268.147447765025,1163,82.1763874236654,81.7806884979407,73.15,8401739 2020-04-02,795.360687268449,8382217.30952869,254.210337697434,1059,78.0863353054172,83.5065216855701,73.15,8401739 2020-04-03,753.727876534833,8381442.93343635,240.926065181654,779,74.0895390787757,79.4835450137168,73.15,8401739 2020-04-04,714.07680610661,8380709.19319475,228.271744689443,899,70.2605795589122,76.5198728501326,73.15,8401739 2020-04-05,676.334430373862,8380014.14359598,216.224423262975,595,66.6086748566355,74.6393097905089,73.15,8401739 2020-04-06,640.427997744355,8379355.91236003,204.761204044003,557,63.1278699305903,68.259678145203,73.15,8401739 2020-04-07,606.285378850761,8378732.69967279,193.859354139741,596,59.8121576733875,67.2241782326254,73.15,8401739 2020-04-08,573.835349990668,8378142.77741855,183.496398042093,1027,56.655515326881,65.6054657256075,73.15,8401739 2020-04-09,543.007835556828,8377584.48814984,173.650197791127,771,53.6519365235925,62.1776039460402,73.15,8401739 2020-04-10,513.734113084173,8377056.24383386,164.299021035841,500,50.7954592698875,58.8568628470844,73.15,8401739 2020-04-11,485.946984382603,8376556.52441105,155.42159809831,556,48.0801901842374,54.7743746860025,73.15,8401739 2020-04-12,459.580916047895,8376083.87619819,146.997169093491,308,45.5003252976233,51.3584152042809,73.15,8401739 2020-04-13,434.572152453697,8375636.9101649,139.005522098641,273,43.0501677136915,47.9781626160965,73.15,8401739 2020-04-14,410.858804130662,8375214.30010978,131.427023305079,248,40.7241424144041,43.836162965786,73.15,8401739 2020-04-15,388.380914238927,8374814.78075928,124.242640022439,400,38.5168084832769,36.3734222165197,73.15,8401739 2020-04-16,367.080505640694,8374437.14580999,117.433957342775,396,36.4228690034129,31.9100605243748,73.15,8401739 2020-04-17,346.901610883683,8374080.24593265,110.983189209931,346,34.4371788718759,30.0771066561339,73.15,8401739 2020-04-18,327.790287215726,8373742.98675381,104.873184579135,326,32.5547507559005,27.3395781516184,73.15,8401739 2020-04-19,309.694618567668,8373424.32682907,99.0874292934788,336,30.7707594002987,27.6728424912985,73.15,8401739 2020-04-20,292.564706266995,8373123.2756202,93.610044248209,204,29.0805444794745,26.8515839399439,73.15,8401739 2020-04-21,276.352650079346,8372838.89148649,88.4257803608428,119,27.4796121718735,25.316187517846,73.15,8401739 2020-04-22,261.012521019607,8372570.27969927,83.520010815329,205,25.9636356196464,22.9952394379307,73.15,8401739 2020-04-23,246.500327228968,8372316.59048719,78.8787210017857,228,24.5284544219,20.9956533998497,73.15,8401739 2020-04-24,232.773974079288,8372077.0171186,74.4884965299044,181,23.1700732962259,19.031774255306,73.15,8401739 2020-04-25,219.793219541077,8371850.79402629,70.3365096538358,217,21.8846600302979,17.7344237901225,73.15,8401739 2020-04-26,207.519625736294,8371637.19497882,66.4105044092245,167,20.6685428332346,15.7229354541959,73.15,8401739 2020-04-27,195.916507491539,8371435.53130191,62.6987807289396,103,19.5182071851568,14.5208033717782,69.44,8401739 2020-04-28,184.948878610683,8371245.15015238,59.1901777728256,100,18.4302922729146,14.2946597127095,69.44,8401739 2020-04-29,174.583396498132,8371065.43284679,55.8740566783419,143,17.4015870903152,13.5567172462749,69.44,8401739 2020-04-30,164.564712759713,8370895.7810426,52.747978456941,179,16.4263650027301,12.9735046518346,69.44,8401739 2020-05-01,154.204071207639,8370736.03270307,49.6205901462013,119,15.4912026170425,12.2355621854,69.44,8401739 2020-05-02,142.782017398742,8370586.948278,46.1920293611616,112,14.5745923516874,10.9858209115994,69.44,8401739 2020-05-03,130.088975364306,8370449.87297241,42.3333621607774,88,13.6529896885722,10.0455393817875,69.44,8401739 2020-05-04,116.483664365845,8370326.04284027,38.1118130223773,76,12.7075563309579,9.72417733995307,69.44,8401739 2020-05-05,102.686188792347,8370216.10911778,33.7315294899954,63.5,11.72844129515,9.2897434685843,69.44,8401739 2020-05-06,89.544346884456,8370119.89040089,29.4603150206994,51,10.7162811981311,8.19473206677808,69.44,8401739 2020-05-07,77.7042981830071,8370036.34468546,25.5651644377133,66,9.68244267283644,6.84977241021174,69.44,8401739 2020-05-08,67.3613983478537,8369963.93475934,22.1624821792367,81,8.64881531474087,6.39748509207439,69.44,8401739 2020-05-09,58.3938358182756,8369901.16375385,19.2122206943558,44,7.64440204291148,5.58812883856544,69.44,8401739 2020-05-10,50.6190655495507,8369846.74976037,16.6543431766928,54,6.69852750652377,5.18345071181097,69.44,8401739 2020-05-11,43.8786868589241,8369799.58106015,14.4367506487214,45,5.83436143915462,4.81447947859366,58.33,8401739 2020-05-12,38.0352709840424,8369758.69360276,12.5142397099964,36,5.06486695940102,4.48716628783636,58.33,8401739 2020-05-13,32.9696002354861,8369723.25144665,10.8475953227897,33,4.39149747423884,4.27292492661341,58.33,8401739 2020-05-14,28.6336683159558,8369692.53267554,9.4009824114998,50,3.80744422208412,4.08248816108189,58.33,8401739 2020-05-15,25.0712389313033,8369665.8181983,8.18646871003415,51,3.30409414876537,3.7254192257103,58.33,8401739 2020-05-16,22.313288508762,8369642.29961878,7.2319693504895,58,2.87465272825095,3.89205139555037,58.33,8401739 2020-05-17,20.3023213273324,8369621.16574382,6.52752740434718,34,2.51381380880561,3.65400543863598,58.33,8401739 2020-05-18,18.9176928282471,8369601.70815419,6.03799223660369,10,2.21672062332726,3.23742501403579,58.33,8401739 2020-05-19,18.0100774243711,8369583.35956569,5.71781576780588,25,1.97837480516186,3.10649973773287,58.33,8401739 2020-05-20,17.4061086106005,8369565.71515911,5.51473278207705,40,1.7931334923231,3.18981582265291,58.33,8401739 2020-05-21,16.9366128171861,8369548.56132499,5.36599463095911,36,1.65391165385883,3.02318365281283,58.33,8401739 2020-05-22,16.5020053784894,8369531.84294867,5.22830923144502,13,1.55191808380371,2.57089633467548,58.33,8401739 2020-05-23,16.0784510842465,8369515.55362993,5.09412498131981,18,1.47770919175748,2.09480442084668,58.33,8401739 2020-05-24,15.6656738786113,8369499.68245422,4.96335446537915,11,1.42252243281721,1.82105157039513,58.33,8401739 2020-05-25,15.263404342337,8369484.21877969,4.83591236855192,10,1.37902800284372,1.82105157039513,58.33,8401739 2020-05-26,14.8713795465182,8369469.15223069,4.71171542969115,13.3333333333333,1.34167028585379,1.68219142886173,58.33,8401739 2020-05-27,14.4893429088541,8369454.47269128,4.59068239615716,16.6666666666667,1.30695407172542,1.40447114579494,58.33,8401739 2020-05-28,14.1170440524294,8369440.17029901,4.47273397919226,20,1.2733947244908,1.21403438026342,58.33,8401739 2020-05-29,13.7542386670054,8369426.23543875,4.3577928100851,32,1.24068998668016,1.4401780393321,58.33,8401739 2020-05-30,13.4006883728135,8369412.65873671,4.24578339712215,17,1.20881845732852,1.42827574148638,55.56,8401739 2020-05-31,13.0776380570456,8369399.43224829,4.13587718776292,17,1.17801488414486,1.49968952856069,55.56,8401739 2020-06-01,12.8537893657398,8369386.50813875,4.04605224693061,9,1.14933492899989,1.48778723071497,55.56,8401739 2020-06-02,12.818061032433,8369373.74097317,4.00913902474462,3,1.12489572047312,1.36479681964254,55.56,8401739 2020-06-03,13.0362416221932,8369360.89687689,4.04931360756032,11.5,1.10760047615928,1.30330161410632,55.56,8401739 2020-06-04,13.5426101876924,8369347.69333043,4.18019339552374,20,1.10076339320851,1.30330161410632,55.56,8401739 2020-06-05,14.3411178152303,8369333.82780211,4.40643977031381,23,1.10774860363013,1.19618093349484,55.56,8401739 2020-06-06,15.3931572849315,8369319.01146536,4.72132797113428,16,1.13146356207049,1.18427863564912,46.3,8401739 2020-06-07,16.6230586665931,8369303.0242672,5.09856816994498,9,1.17366221415368,1.08906025288336,46.3,8401739 2020-06-08,17.9725852882343,8369285.73521269,5.51250178539364,12.5,1.23458764783467,1.13071829534338,46.3,8401739 2020-06-09,19.431532521641,8369267.04263038,5.95999936807876,16,1.3133031552934,1.28544816733774,46.3,8401739 2020-06-10,21.0087487123669,8369246.83273253,6.44377540835993,23,1.40819430925776,1.42232459256352,46.3,8401739 2020-06-11,22.7137937487397,8369224.98253183,6.96676273837114,33,1.51735246759911,1.57705446455787,46.3,8401739 2020-06-12,24.5569956069495,8369201.35910193,7.53212989262131,19,1.63894488783163,1.52944527317499,46.3,8401739 2020-06-13,26.5495112753296,8369175.81877925,8.14329981470465,31,1.77173113589763,1.70797974086079,46.3,8401739 2020-06-14,28.7033923774266,8369148.20630159,8.80397000864065,23,1.91551486579966,1.87461191070087,46.3,8401739 2020-06-15,31.0316558333744,8369118.35387857,9.51813423955402,14,2.07094781301618,1.89246535746945,46.3,8401739 2020-06-16,33.5257891237048,8369086.07886731,10.2909470857924,23.5,2.23870185300795,1.98173259131235,46.3,8401739 2020-06-17,36.1108271757135,8369051.23008743,11.1061124586728,33,2.41845128896813,2.10075556976954,46.3,8401739 2020-06-18,38.6548112062053,8369013.77755344,11.9203840070817,13,2.60818602671071,1.86270961285515,46.3,8401739 2020-06-19,41.0307195687044,8368973.83864088,12.6901115714733,35,2.80426119593168,2.05314637838666,46.3,8401739 2020-06-20,43.1581773660877,8368931.6392261,13.3840706470673,8,3.00194248656399,1.77939352793511,46.3,8401739 2020-06-21,45.0247510122452,8368887.45571315,13.9905224114101,49,3.19620415828242,2.08885327192382,46.3,8401739 2020-06-22,46.7019904433412,8368841.53791365,14.5228698252915,35.5,3.38271714815233,2.3447526756068,35.19,8401739 2020-06-23,48.3159440478297,8368794.01661693,15.0248446304106,22,3.55875397724361,2.32689922883822,35.19,8401739 2020-06-24,49.9591945987817,8368744.88354929,15.5359386732183,44,3.72358137098992,2.45782450514114,35.19,8401739 2020-06-25,51.6573308821573,8368694.07993305,16.0641099810082,52,3.87834123291794,2.92201412112421,35.19,8401739 2020-06-26,53.412116276977,8368641.55000506,16.6099076610288,58,4.02570830428581,3.19576697157577,35.19,8401739 2020-06-27,55.2253659287542,8368587.236213,17.1738969721592,69,4.16933557671913,3.92180714016467,35.19,8401739 2020-06-28,57.0989479209341,8368531.07916303,17.7566596928234,62,4.31304626457422,4.07653701215903,35.19,8401739 2020-06-29,59.0347844464674,8368473.01756626,18.3587944891772,35,4.45983485206933,4.07058586323617,35.19,8401739 2020-06-30,61.034852977013,8368412.98818409,18.9809172828019,86,4.61121909441706,4.83233292536224,35.19,8401739 2020-07-01,63.10118742703,8368350.92577231,19.6236616170667,137,4.76763900734518,5.93924662501418,35.19,8401739 2020-07-02,65.2358793097786,8368286.76302408,20.2876790212476,116,4.92925493504326,6.70099368714025,35.19,8401739 2020-07-03,67.4410788819842,8368220.43051179,20.9736393714093,134,5.09623182643452,7.60556832341495,39.35,8401739 2020-07-04,69.718996273648,8368151.85662772,21.6822312469718,97,5.26873933166521,7.9388326630951,39.35,8401739 2020-07-05,72.0719025991903,8368080.96752362,22.414162281794,70,5.44695189787628,8.03405104586086,39.35,8401739 2020-07-06,74.5021310458041,8368007.68704918,23.1701595085076,47,5.63104886398457,8.1768786200095,39.35,8401739 2020-07-07,77.012077934567,8367931.93668942,23.9509696947371,54,5.82121455417744,7.79600508894647,39.35,8401739 2020-07-08,79.6042037495132,8367853.63550106,24.7573596697325,71,6.01763836980041,7.01045343112896,39.35,8401739 2020-07-09,82.2810341294992,8367772.7000478,25.590116639826,88,6.22051487929113,6.67718909144881,39.35,8401739 2020-07-10,85.0451608173107,8367689.04433477,26.4500484910094,104,6.43004390578584,6.32012015607721,39.35,8401739 2020-07-11,87.8992425600511,8367602.5797419,27.3379840767969,127,6.64643061199515,6.67718909144881,39.35,8401739 2020-07-12,90.8460059544222,8367513.21495653,28.2547734894112,66,6.86988558191545,6.62957990006593,39.35,8401739 2020-07-13,93.8882462300585,8367420.85590514,29.2012883121861,63,7.10062489890988,6.82001666559744,39.35,8401739 2020-07-14,97.0288279636037,8367325.40568436,30.1784218509377,70,7.33887021965879,7.01045343112896,39.35,8401739 2020-07-15,100.270685715723,8367226.76449132,31.1870893418977,132,7.58484884344382,7.73649359971787,39.35,8401739 2020-07-16,103.616824582728,8367124.82955334,32.2282281336475,142,7.83879377619202,8.37921768338674,39.35,8401739 2020-07-17,107.070320653949,8367019.49505721,33.3027978403188,92,8.10094378866727,8.2363901092381,39.35,8401739 2020-07-18,110.634321365425,8366910.65207795,34.411780463156,110,8.37154346815474,8.03405104586086,39.35,8401739 2020-07-19,114.312045739903,8366798.18850739,35.5561804773502,99,8.65084326294103,8.42682687476962,39.35,8401739 2020-07-20,118.106784502516,8366681.98898247,36.7370248808692,43,8.93909951884779,8.18878091785522,39.35,8401739 2020-07-21,122.021900060889,8366561.93481357,37.9553632018065,92,9.23657450702923,8.45063147046106,39.35,8401739 2020-07-22,126.060826337759,8366437.9039129,39.2122674605741,141,9.5435364421957,8.55775215107253,39.35,8401739 2020-07-23,130.227068443532,8366309.77072307,40.5088320830518,117,9.86025949037422,8.26019470492954,39.35,8401739 2020-07-24,134.524202175496,8366177.40614624,41.8461737605879,154,10.1870237652648,8.99813717136417,39.35,8401739 2020-07-25,138.955873329699,8366040.67747368,43.2254312525275,148,10.5241153121966,9.45042448950152,39.35,8401739 2020-07-26,143.525796810769,8365899.44831623,44.6477651267135,110,10.8718260786328,9.58134976580444,39.35,8401739 2020-07-27,148.237755524215,8365753.57853572,46.1143574331742,65,11.2304538701138,9.84320031841027,39.35,8401739 2020-07-28,153.095599034976,8365602.92417764,47.6264113059743,132,11.6003022904716,10.3192922322391,39.35,8401739 2020-07-29,158.10324197523,8365447.33740521,49.1851504879645,193,11.9816806650852,10.9382117202165,39.35,8401739 2020-07-30,163.264662183691,8365286.66643527,50.7918187729232,220,12.3749039458864,12.1641483983256,39.35,8401739 2020-07-31,168.583898557318,8365120.75547614,52.4476793591744,210,12.7802925967576,12.8306770776859,43.06,8401739