date,I_in,S,I,I_obs,incidence,incidence_obs,stringency,N
2020-03-01,0.4321425169638847,4660832.0,1.0,0.0,,,5.56,4660833
2020-03-02,0.5366022806242475,4660831.517506226,1.2419404359841364,0.0,,,5.56,4660833
2020-03-03,0.6662290671426566,4660830.918419071,1.5422871527269564,0.0,,,5.56,4660833
2020-03-04,0.8270410740213647,4660830.174668543,1.9150700924047555,0.0,,,5.56,4660833
2020-03-05,1.026471251129683,4660829.251483232,2.3776516693369256,0.0,,,5.56,4660833
2020-03-06,1.273686735222024,4660828.1058208635,2.951497970599911,0.0,,,11.11,4660833
2020-03-07,1.579973312738792,4660826.684447697,3.6631174591385047,0.0,0.13607323493123769,0.0,11.11,4660833
2020-03-08,1.9591942504593722,4660824.921597039,4.5451975899398125,0.0,0.1688367287851365,0.0,11.11,4660833
2020-03-09,2.4283318917073475,4660822.7361281505,5.637971922352908,0.0,0.2094245295298338,0.0,11.11,4660833
2020-03-10,3.008117745648974,4660820.028099625,6.990850470367981,0.0,0.2596706696190908,0.0,20.83,4660833
2020-03-11,3.723751375564479,4660816.674667979,8.664342567533321,0.0,0.32182072523239236,0.0,20.83,4660833
2020-03-12,4.605698784583411,4660812.525226279,10.73229202654964,0.0,0.39861445574051685,0.0,45.37,4660833
2020-03-13,5.690545300415878,4660807.395714208,13.284425397653806,0.0,0.493379888554648,0.0,53.7,4660833
2020-03-14,7.021853829213341,4660801.06206717,16.429180969084506,1.0,0.6101375693485007,0.021455392201351134,53.7,4660833
2020-03-15,8.650944228995458,4660793.252837786,20.296732777720774,2.0,0.7537116896513755,0.0643661766040534,53.7,4660833
2020-03-16,10.637461305515691,4660783.641130273,25.04204327562873,3.0,0.929841780856281,0.1287323532081068,61.11,4660833
2020-03-17,13.049537113755893,4660771.836150584,30.847663495959214,4.0,1.1452843716572585,0.2145539220135113,61.11,4660833
2020-03-18,15.963281344042958,4660757.374904925,37.92584621309876,6.0,1.4078882874911551,0.34328627522161814,61.11,4660833
2020-03-19,19.461262353938658,4660739.714881843,46.51934841800087,8.0,1.7266202302437754,0.5149294128324272,61.11,4660833
2020-03-20,23.629593031242806,4660718.228917928,56.90009130827784,11.0,2.1115095350274253,0.7509387270472896,61.11,4660833
2020-03-21,28.553246988922375,4660692.203834226,69.36465915873,13.0,2.573474019910472,1.008403433463503,61.11,4660833
2020-03-22,34.30935218699318,4660660.844755699,84.2255252345918,50.0,3.123985225911582,2.0382622591283575,61.11,4660833
2020-03-23,40.95849452126794,4660623.2871517865,101.79699988599191,51.5,3.774534885505741,3.0788487808938876,78.7,4660833
2020-03-24,48.534543583103606,4660578.618379865,122.37532901712197,53.0,4.535879616573078,4.130162998760093,78.7,4660833
2020-03-25,57.03415221051979,4660525.909690766,146.21323235524855,50.0,5.417071259064384,5.074200255619543,78.7,4660833
2020-03-26,66.40773878555493,4660464.258167542,173.49046414753934,78.0,6.424326323376199,6.576077709714121,78.7,4660833
2020-03-27,74.95551910050865,4660392.444676387,204.6700614290531,85.0,7.525544197289852,8.163776732614105,78.7,4660833
2020-03-28,80.253546197536,4660311.156449374,238.38075943430817,83.0,8.63479439373786,9.665654186708686,78.7,4660833
2020-03-29,81.42622764312405,4660224.35718213,270.51446768364593,63.0,9.645705435951363,9.944574285326249,78.7,4660833
2020-03-30,78.76624784386853,4660136.998830861,296.88531035641785,75.0,10.456885611739693,10.448776002058002,78.7,4660833
2020-03-31,73.28927919411856,4660056.383052795,311.8000188559922,58.0,10.988008173114773,10.556052963064756,78.7,4660833
2020-04-01,67.94250598167564,4659982.923607595,317.4107158976612,61.0,11.22205118154601,10.79206227727962,78.7,4660833
2020-04-02,65.37406171709631,4659915.141348764,316.8444891471907,89.0,11.199873234632689,11.028071591494482,78.7,4660833
2020-04-03,64.918778625002,4659849.974281897,314.0541955806804,71.0,10.984531031307517,10.727696100675566,78.7,4660833
2020-04-04,64.48156058553226,4659785.2758476725,311.3854286451539,82.0,10.64613689420791,10.706240708474215,78.7,4660833
2020-04-05,64.06458764002117,4659721.004413245,308.850074951123,89.0,10.273636098682669,11.264080905709346,78.7,4660833
2020-04-06,63.666749989001666,4659657.140294774,306.4399682283978,67.0,9.949670450163042,11.092437768098534,78.7,4660833
2020-04-07,63.28701103269224,4659593.664881119,304.14756104162126,54.0,9.735067863856553,11.00661619929313,78.7,4660833
2020-04-08,60.63749898777142,4659530.730294779,301.7931351039634,50.0,9.578336073768726,10.77060688507827,78.7,4660833
2020-04-09,54.13265805373525,4659470.849164371,297.1099604805034,29.0,9.33714734927761,9.4832833529972,78.7,4660833
2020-04-10,45.00233557194965,4659417.94455999,287.0268862918497,44.0,8.909832252318495,8.90398776356072,78.7,4660833
2020-04-11,34.9301679077026,4659374.51017692,270.36356095276983,29.0,8.275795532319524,7.76685197688911,78.7,4660833
2020-04-12,25.728145876843545,4659341.217157993,247.81140750055522,24.0,7.453272138686291,6.3722514838012865,78.7,4660833
2020-04-13,18.903157201076294,4659316.9256437095,221.55459280196314,19.0,6.492851699079779,5.342392658136432,78.7,4660833
2020-04-14,15.346440520629763,4659299.107981679,194.59541152727803,17.0,5.464267956386948,4.54854314668644,78.7,4660833
2020-04-15,13.627595205901354,4659284.622858117,169.88364760458865,20.0,4.455652033399147,3.904881380645906,78.7,4660833
2020-04-16,12.089061364742646,4659271.77896269,148.4889150249973,14.0,3.5535901768813827,3.583050497625639,78.7,4660833
2020-04-17,10.715785713367286,4659260.3896552995,129.93470856808645,8.0,2.817958802434318,2.8106563783769984,78.7,4660833
2020-04-18,9.492282306827498,4659250.29747655,113.81191967934332,13.0,2.27217899009444,2.46737010315538,78.7,4660833
2020-04-19,8.403863180380755,4659241.360073838,99.77715022273156,9.0,1.90047971023475,2.145539220135113,78.7,4660833
2020-04-20,7.43681650068536,4659233.4493048,87.54078680243992,9.0,1.6544648733935474,1.9309852981216018,78.7,4660833
2020-04-21,6.578489978242931,4659226.450213038,76.85749971308627,5.0,1.466345055704588,1.6735205917053884,78.7,4660833
2020-04-22,5.8173109362867095,4659220.25995432,67.51862681644636,6.0,1.2987723434959626,1.3731451008864726,78.7,4660833
2020-04-23,5.142765188224089,4659214.786724814,59.346030955362394,5.5,1.1497368346820112,1.190774267174988,78.7,4660833
2020-04-24,4.545350206435461,4659209.9487243835,52.18711590133896,5.0,1.017347720827646,1.1264080905709344,78.7,4660833
2020-04-25,4.016513293311858,4659205.673174943,45.91075846658011,9.0,0.8998629490386623,1.04058652176553,78.7,4660833
2020-04-26,3.548582073625856,4659201.895404975,40.40396935201378,6.0,0.7956909886454259,0.9762203451614765,78.7,4660833
2020-04-27,3.1346922302397005,4659198.558005267,35.569137032532176,3.0,0.7033872251240627,0.8474879919533698,78.7,4660833
2020-04-28,2.854640293367279,4659195.603661472,31.328248711785456,2.0,0.6234905696361778,0.7831218153493162,78.7,4660833
2020-04-29,2.7241344227832824,4659192.901912691,27.683702519671776,2.0,0.5571252543909538,0.6973002465439118,78.7,4660833
2020-04-30,2.6683631083180877,4659190.312269675,24.645616689595037,3.0,0.5040359873027316,0.6436617660405339,78.7,4660833
2020-05-01,2.636919163255556,4659187.764341846,22.15926153144043,2.5,0.46308985078207315,0.5900232855371561,78.7,4660833
2020-05-02,2.59475793107709,4659185.236305248,20.136990162423654,2.0,0.43258553187095206,0.4398355401276982,78.7,4660833
2020-05-03,2.514687805966217,4659182.741214374,18.476840689427554,2.0,0.41040292486358587,0.3540139713222937,78.7,4660833
2020-05-04,2.372728085328659,4659180.320160823,17.071407540561523,2.0,0.39405468529115234,0.33255857912094255,78.7,4660833
2020-05-05,2.200165134867813,4659178.035237433,15.815677341302695,2.0,0.38001266407950474,0.33255857912094255,78.7,4660833
2020-05-06,2.040307412251529,4659175.916014947,14.654413551147549,1.5,0.3653408873706686,0.32183088302026697,78.7,4660833
2020-05-07,1.8921576858534659,4659173.950720749,13.57992205060531,1.0,0.34868709560287464,0.2789200986175647,78.7,4660833
2020-05-08,1.7548457160250115,4659172.128087731,12.585507890700388,2.0,0.3297618638421455,0.26819240251688914,78.7,4660833
2020-05-09,1.627567669187473,4659170.437685358,11.665022117870397,2.0,0.30901041743997626,0.26819240251688914,78.7,4660833
2020-05-10,1.5095808227829794,4659168.869855953,10.812813194094886,1.9166666666666667,0.28744545291146306,0.2664044531667765,78.7,4660833
2020-05-11,1.4001987213897147,4659167.415656042,10.023683282108243,1.8333333333333333,0.26657945398082245,0.2628285544665514,71.3,4660833
2020-05-12,1.2987867421328951,4659166.066802336,9.29284883884406,1.75,0.24724002704287126,0.2574647064162136,71.3,4660833
2020-05-13,1.2047580317639257,4659164.81562196,8.615905032526442,1.6666666666666667,0.22931298738091374,0.26104060511643873,71.3,4660833
2020-05-14,1.1175697815641932,4659163.655006572,7.988793560684223,1.5833333333333335,0.21269390009996478,0.27355625056722693,71.3,4660833
2020-05-15,1.0367198096061987,4659162.578370054,7.407773499446363,1.5,0.19728622712779836,0.2628285544665514,71.3,4660833
2020-05-16,0.9617434229179608,4659161.579609477,6.869394860136345,1.4166666666666667,0.18300070678691704,0.25031290901576325,71.3,4660833
2020-05-17,0.892210534787127,4659160.653069065,6.370474568551414,1.3333333333333335,0.1697547851245049,0.23779726356497505,71.3,4660833
2020-05-18,0.8277230148448121,4659159.793506946,5.908074616334923,1.25,0.1574720943148384,0.22528161811418687,71.3,4660833
2020-05-19,0.7679122517181987,4659158.996064421,5.479482163320122,1.1666666666666667,0.1460819739132987,0.21276597266339875,71.3,4660833
2020-05-20,0.7124369099638022,4659158.256237584,5.082191395308252,1.0833333333333335,0.13551903115606787,0.20025032721261057,71.3,4660833
2020-05-21,0.660980864715425,4659157.569851096,4.713886964004396,1.0,0.12572273687028743,0.1877346817618224,71.3,4660833
2020-05-22,0.6132512990246919,4659156.933033935,4.372428855245459,0.0,0.1166370538908392,0.15555159345979572,71.3,4660833
2020-05-23,0.5689769502575754,4659156.3421969805,4.055838548617424,0.06896551724137931,0.1082100951763694,0.12663613672866444,71.3,4660833
2020-05-24,0.5279064931550314,4659155.7940122755,3.7622863464137706,0.13793103448275862,0.10039380908261544,0.10098831156842861,71.3,4660833
2020-05-25,0.48980704828539123,4659155.285393847,3.4900797629231928,0.20689655172413793,0.09314368948898438,0.0786081179790882,71.3,4660833
2020-05-26,0.47813999799646195,4659154.811726994,3.239436807551244,0.27586206896551724,0.08692651213631511,0.05949555596064322,71.3,4660833
2020-05-27,0.5040024233858335,4659154.34541117,3.0311332195449334,0.3448275862068966,0.08245446847849752,0.04365062551309368,71.3,4660833
2020-05-28,0.5544762789511142,4659153.848626744,2.890903827791892,0.41379310344827586,0.0801693708196818,0.03107332663643957,71.3,4660833
2020-05-29,0.6212031779263006,4659153.295519537,2.828757987924282,0.48275862068965514,0.08033998150025345,0.04143110218191943,71.3,4660833
2020-05-30,0.6974393678733117,4659152.668421448,2.845420900836706,0.5517241379310345,0.08309619305333284,0.051788877727399284,71.3,4660833
2020-05-31,0.774006823499876,4659151.9572316455,2.9346395629442696,0.6206896551724138,0.08837637216176357,0.06214665327287913,71.3,4660833
2020-06-01,0.8348315312710747,4659151.163182884,3.081086975054842,0.6896551724137931,0.0957790077632898,0.072504428818359,62.96,4660833
2020-06-02,0.8823150575503776,4659150.305036935,3.25674280578175,0.7586206896551724,0.10445074218402349,0.08286220436383886,62.96,4660833
2020-06-03,0.9325160002242036,4659149.397849616,3.4424993085900915,0.8275862068965517,0.11364466903869457,0.09321997990931871,62.96,4660833
2020-06-04,0.9855293175341496,4659148.439067557,3.6387160625164756,0.896551724137931,0.12289308104107771,0.10357775545479857,62.96,4660833
2020-06-05,1.0415074442464154,4659147.425802795,3.8459663363804673,0.9655172413793103,0.13191087391887693,0.11393553100027844,62.96,4660833
2020-06-06,1.1006104812543709,4659146.35501112,4.064852977752888,1.0344827586206897,0.14056106828072296,0.12429330654575828,62.96,4660833
2020-06-07,1.1630065113201264,4659145.22348426,4.296009723747079,1.103448275862069,0.14890720914910957,0.13465108209123816,62.96,4660833
2020-06-08,1.228871919353888,4659144.027841734,4.540102544010041,1.1724137931034482,0.15736150021859893,0.14500885763671797,62.96,4660833
2020-06-09,1.292043719145299,4659142.764987408,4.797357698358193,1.2413793103448276,0.16615238934925267,0.15536663318219784,62.96,4660833
2020-06-10,1.346038508856739,4659141.438830912,5.061631375209932,1.3103448275862069,0.17502467695605028,0.1657244087276777,62.96,4660833
2020-06-11,1.3906802607658364,4659140.060007906,5.321963417028627,1.3793103448275863,0.1837173493438335,0.17608218427315758,62.96,4660833
2020-06-12,1.4274478600521496,4659138.638889432,5.569783819902839,1.4482758620689655,0.19199785233129807,0.18643995981863742,62.96,4660833
2020-06-13,1.4597374938058187,4659137.183705241,5.800136577884496,1.5172413793103448,0.1997030632356889,0.1967977353641173,62.96,4660833
2020-06-14,1.4929352909023028,4659135.6985421805,6.012781862966058,1.5862068965517242,0.20678181460013764,0.20715551090959713,62.96,4660833
2020-06-15,1.5344055621595556,4659134.181315406,6.213107529757591,1.6551724137931034,0.2133371587372408,0.217513286455077,59.26,4660833
2020-06-16,1.5833216916538229,4659132.622498882,6.412092769256829,1.7241379310344827,0.21958664187702553,0.22787106200055682,59.26,4660833
2020-06-17,1.6337141052324633,4659131.014107093,6.617142823913922,1.793103448275862,0.22575883462402432,0.2382288375460367,59.26,4660833
2020-06-18,1.6856406659545848,4659129.354559299,6.828498589031558,1.8620689655172413,0.23208732580121832,0.24858661309151656,59.26,4660833
2020-06-19,1.7391435988371082,4659127.642300313,7.046337736087039,1.9310344827586206,0.23877488012433953,0.25894438863699637,59.26,4660833
2020-06-20,1.7942660036964235,4659125.875732287,7.270841896781217,2.0,0.245952320506576,0.26930216418247627,59.26,4660833
2020-06-21,1.8510518542261412,4659124.053213834,7.502196682190963,2.0,0.25363585182648896,0.2781802575071733,59.26,4660833
2020-06-22,1.8914277523030376,4659122.174389621,7.739237544124389,2.0,0.26129590294060273,0.28557866861108744,59.26,4660833
2020-06-23,1.898630304088859,4659120.25882024,7.96306793670762,1.0,0.26806097288486025,0.2700420052928677,59.26,4660833
2020-06-24,1.8754395488121889,4659118.342777722,8.143571140966637,1.3333333333333333,0.2732472870819088,0.26017745715431545,59.26,4660833
2020-06-25,1.8292863287356464,4659116.458199117,8.260451577576694,1.6666666666666665,0.2763292611148995,0.2559850241954308,59.26,4660833
2020-06-26,1.7719804816858484,4659114.627724445,8.305777756224579,2.0,0.27703378931508904,0.2574647064162136,59.26,4660833
2020-06-27,1.718546808937935,4659112.86057258,8.2852821865911,4.0,0.2754092042943752,0.30037549081891585,59.26,4660833
2020-06-28,1.6858320809310916,4659111.149762694,8.218193774453942,2.0,0.2718643492589116,0.30037549081891585,59.26,4660833
2020-06-29,1.6687036264493826,4659109.47233585,8.134209672159036,0.0,0.26708571578601836,0.2574647064162136,59.26,4660833
2020-06-30,1.651736523396483,4659107.812131809,8.051026603513334,0.6,0.26178851288918903,0.24888254953567313,59.26,4660833
2020-07-01,1.6349605484969283,4659106.168799094,7.968790248680934,1.2,0.2566289416212363,0.24602183057549296,45.37,4660833
2020-07-02,1.6183731747022438,4659104.542147845,7.887487890585177,1.7999999999999998,0.25210371718102564,0.24888254953567313,45.37,4660833
2020-07-03,1.6019719159476031,4659102.931990706,7.807107022575442,2.4,0.24845611672552242,0.2574647064162136,45.37,4660833
2020-07-04,1.5857543263331486,4659101.33814279,7.72763534413198,3.0,0.2456070019298456,0.23600931421486246,45.37,4660833
2020-07-05,1.5697179993249264,4659099.760421634,7.649060756675868,1.0,0.24311572876888562,0.2145539220135113,45.37,4660833
2020-07-06,1.5538605669748693,4659098.198647161,7.571371359481087,2.0,0.24065172588625686,0.2574647064162136,45.37,4660833
2020-07-07,1.5381796991593206,4659096.652641646,7.494555445685811,1.0,0.23821531968510862,0.26604686329675403,45.37,4660833
2020-07-08,1.5226731028355696,4659095.122229672,7.418601498400137,1.5,0.23580614849915635,0.27248348095715935,45.37,4660833
2020-07-09,1.5073385213159158,4659093.607238102,7.343498186907519,2.0,0.23342385646281158,0.2767745593974296,45.37,4660833
2020-07-10,1.4921737335587695,4659092.1074960325,7.269234362957305,1.0,0.2310680933966636,0.24673701031553802,45.37,4660833
2020-07-11,1.4771765534763388,4659090.622834766,7.195799057145824,1.0,0.22873851469567158,0.20382622591283578,45.37,4660833
2020-07-12,1.462344829258438,4659089.153087774,7.123181475383567,1.0,0.22643478121999266,0.20382622591283578,45.37,4660833
2020-07-13,1.4476764427119866,4659087.698090663,7.051370995446076,1.0,0.22415655918837554,0.18237083371148463,45.37,4660833
2020-07-14,1.4331693086157795,4659086.257681139,6.98035716360625,2.0,0.22190352007404682,0.20382622591283578,45.37,4660833
2020-07-15,1.418821374090113,4659084.831698979,6.910129691345808,1.0,0.21967534050302467,0.1930985298121602,45.37,4660833
2020-07-16,1.4046306179808614,4659083.419985998,6.840678452143764,1.0,0.21747170215479264,0.17164313761080907,45.37,4660833
2020-07-17,1.3905950502576379,4659082.022386014,6.771993478339816,2.0,0.21529229166527006,0.1930985298121602,45.37,4660833
2020-07-18,1.3767127114256459,4659080.638744822,6.704064958070603,3.0,0.21313680053201783,0.23600931421486246,45.37,4660833
2020-07-19,1.362981671950872,4659079.268910158,6.636883232276867,1.0,0.21100492502161944,0.23600931421486246,45.37,4660833
2020-07-20,1.3494000316982602,4659077.912731678,6.57043879177962,1.0,0.20889636607917875,0.23600931421486246,45.37,4660833
2020-07-21,1.3359659193825286,4659076.570060919,6.504722274423446,1.0,0.20681082923987879,0.2145539220135113,45.37,4660833
2020-07-22,1.3226774920312976,4659075.240751278,6.439724462285161,1.0,0.20474802454254643,0.2145539220135113,45.37,4660833
2020-07-23,1.3095329344602138,4659073.924657979,6.375436278946084,1.0,0.20270766644517096,0.2145539220135113,45.37,4660833
2020-07-24,1.2965304587597426,4659072.621638048,6.311848786826228,1.0,0.2006894737423238,0.1930985298121602,45.37,4660833
2020-07-25,1.2836683037933474,4659071.331550287,6.248953184578775,1.0,0.19869316948443042,0.15018774540945792,45.37,4660833
2020-07-26,1.2709447347067464,4659070.054255245,6.186740804543265,1.0,0.19671848089884653,0.15018774540945792,45.37,4660833
2020-07-27,1.2583580424479663,4659068.789615192,6.125203110255932,1.0,0.19476513931269027,0.15018774540945792,45.37,4660833
2020-07-28,1.2459065432979166,4659067.537494097,6.064331694015711,2.0,0.192832880077386,0.17164313761080907,45.37,4660833
2020-07-29,1.2335885784112237,4659066.297757595,6.00411827450446,1.0,0.19092144249487497,0.17164313761080907,45.37,4660833
2020-07-30,1.221402513367046,4659065.070272974,5.944554694459997,1.5,0.18903056974545088,0.18237083371148463,45.37,4660833
2020-07-31,1.2093467377296296,4659063.854909139,5.885632918400569,2.0,0.18716000881717662,0.20382622591283578,45.37,4660833