date,I_in,S,I,I_obs,incidence,incidence_obs,stringency,N 2020-03-01,43.3307030315302,81914621,51,51,,,25,81914672 2020-03-02,54.9749289344327,81914572.0763335,64.7283923036159,33,,,25,81914672 2020-03-03,69.7176673141619,81914510.0190828,82.1240319843684,38,,,25,81914672 2020-03-04,88.3648774635148,81914431.3416868,104.14941441651,74,,,25,81914672 2020-03-05,111.920997695673,81914331.655668,132.009308915166,156.5,,,25,81914672 2020-03-06,141.631142076982,81914205.4515139,167.205532940815,239,,,25,81914672 2020-03-07,179.028234928767,81914045.8347854,211.600368650504,156,0.841080766880274,0.912534936354259,25,81914672 2020-03-08,225.983030491712,81913844.2134037,267.487621423939,107,1.06405953612955,0.980898757673106,25,81914672 2020-03-09,284.752890412811,81913589.9350833,337.668442153303,237,1.34456845579949,1.22993839247748,28.7,81914672 2020-03-10,358.022117224131,81913269.8794523,425.526064738022,157,1.69652548971153,1.37521151278003,32.87,81914672 2020-03-11,448.92241572454,81912868.0186152,535.089226900195,271,2.1366878311551,1.61570566991955,32.87,81914672 2020-03-12,561.016790574649,81912364.9739092,671.068052680481,802,2.68493612650197,2.40372078887162,32.87,81914672 2020-03-13,698.224583108891,81911737.6161182,838.838775018521,693,3.36441567203675,2.95795605456371,32.87,81914672 2020-03-14,864.661112416969,81910958.7810476,1044.34588244434,733,4.20142430644623,3.66234757065255,32.87,81914672 2020-03-15,1064.36564374774,81909997.1993151,1293.88448185535,1043,5.22490714875808,4.80500001269614,32.87,81914672 2020-03-16,1300.90069637097,81908817.7618081,1593.72612748954,1174,6.46540263161634,5.94887323726328,42.13,81914672 2020-03-17,1576.82884392953,81907382.2489944,1949.56401200444,1144,7.95330058316451,7.15378558800797,42.13,81914672 2020-03-18,1889.02267003955,81905649.4725203,2366.89956564487,1042,9.71134980579341,8.09500891366568,52.31,81914672 2020-03-19,2227.26941036558,81903583.867336,2844.17721502067,2801,11.745481883855,10.5353531782438,55.09,81914672 2020-03-20,2578.46405796204,81901165.5665496,3368.16769744693,2958,14.0408453748461,13.3004255940865,57.87,81914672 2020-03-21,2928.92311087153,81898390.3432799,3919.93174998424,2705,16.5608603465896,15.7078087305288,68.06,81914672 2020-03-22,3268.36818262612,81895267.7414488,4478.88086956457,1948,19.251468127914,16.8126169143423,76.85,81914672 2020-03-23,3592.99144922629,81891816.0857516,5027.39049342586,4062,22.0496124613923,20.3382368423571,76.85,81914672 2020-03-24,3907.24483682508,81888054.8530596,5555.23993428783,4764,24.8945435781226,24.7574695776112,76.85,81914672 2020-03-25,4212.23225424631,81883992.6387818,6065.96485360617,4118,27.7306772370681,28.5125966200536,76.85,81914672 2020-03-26,4502.02024579113,81879634.1503633,6564.46250716474,4954,30.5076533023883,31.1409413932586,76.85,81914672 2020-03-27,4773.97483676076,81874994.554272,7044.68102863605,5780,33.1878944914132,34.5859896747191,76.85,81914672 2020-03-28,5025.77417224514,81870092.9302159,7500.6148876687,6294,35.7476936216272,38.9673781517431,76.85,81914672 2020-03-29,5256.08756433343,81864950.1777586,7927.6804386696,3965,38.1742667045388,41.4296965017451,76.85,81914672 2020-03-30,5464.46616638249,81859588.0747852,8322.76607295653,4751,40.4589303325103,42.2708156604717,76.85,81914672 2020-03-31,5651.18904947057,81854028.4701819,8684.15734131152,4615,42.5879069493556,42.0889190644626,76.85,81914672 2020-04-01,5817.09320314109,81848292.6405988,9011.37294665161,5453,44.5470931484956,43.718663733403,76.85,81914672 2020-04-02,5903.22954808821,81842385.2445596,9319.95637287883,6156,46.2576649765767,45.1860443267111,76.85,81914672 2020-04-03,5842.42096015755,81836382.3061034,9561.30398566615,6174,47.5620053313752,45.6670326409901,76.85,81914672 2020-04-04,5630.52547334035,81830457.2193073,9631.87547951514,6082,48.3002751508469,45.4082267459974,76.85,81914672 2020-04-05,5297.37007223234,81824784.6179422,9477.02474653253,5936,48.3506721150182,47.8143890999161,76.85,81914672 2020-04-06,4899.40455095583,81819495.7224044,9100.62027236279,3677,47.6608547701759,46.5032686696225,76.85,81914672 2020-04-07,4502.8640037707,81814660.7052015,8552.07023271012,3834,46.2589996230298,45.5498375187293,76.85,81914672 2020-04-08,4174.96792247397,81810267.7963141,7918.76859501443,4003,44.2543217789103,43.7797028595805,76.85,81914672 2020-04-09,3914.55856437321,81806220.1372013,7315.81659751951,4974,41.8265869968984,42.3367379167434,76.85,81914672 2020-04-10,3686.83677613907,81802422.0757257,6803.91503986449,5323,39.195087497006,41.2978519892016,76.85,81914672 2020-04-11,3487.94377641856,81798836.8683899,6367.90289046955,4133,36.5794612061239,38.918546850801,76.85,81914672 2020-04-12,3313.02220167752,81795438.2086619,5992.58009095469,2821,34.1570040051053,35.1158092899401,76.85,81914672 2020-04-13,3158.20203351405,81792204.1319517,5666.4852103621,2537,32.0313744018496,33.7241172130922,76.85,81914672 2020-04-14,3020.37336018489,81789116.1472998,5380.82710344974,2082,30.2215757328324,31.5853062318311,76.85,81914672 2020-04-15,2897.0156186511,81786158.566695,5128.75932034547,2486,28.6614738943939,29.7333791436045,76.85,81914672 2020-04-16,2786.06885106006,81783317.9830959,4904.87660903967,2866,27.2838333743743,27.1599695839593,76.85,81914672 2020-04-17,2685.83607087583,81780582.8608616,4704.85870376238,3380,26.0618292073269,24.7879891407,76.85,81914672 2020-04-18,2594.90869214131,81777943.2117152,4525.21386178191,3609,24.9716275835235,24.1482990983593,76.85,81914672 2020-04-19,2512.10913179442,81775390.3362725,4363.09125514353,2458,23.9938869049267,23.7051550423104,76.85,81914672 2020-04-20,2436.44627787311,81772916.6162314,4216.14172574842,1775,23.112780092168,22.7749187593646,76.85,81914672 2020-04-21,2356.09485705216,81770512.3919979,4085.24779644975,1785,22.3018405047731,22.41234634987,76.85,81914672 2020-04-22,2259.40320373099,81768182.649352,3959.23805536209,2237,21.5234544118395,22.1083715015059,76.85,81914672 2020-04-23,2145.46412654854,81765949.4731122,3818.50356870393,2352,20.7414153596518,21.4808892844007,76.85,81914672 2020-04-24,2017.71419639824,81763834.8815653,3652.88048699765,2337,19.9257838516875,20.2076131123372,76.85,81914672 2020-04-25,1883.46905389067,81761854.8969416,3461.54332681889,2055,19.0572707747498,18.3105170707392,76.85,81914672 2020-04-26,1752.34954952813,81760016.1922167,3251.20818200238,1737,18.1297695546188,17.430332871259,76.85,81914672 2020-04-27,1634.77249191444,81758314.3693261,3033.92699408136,1018,17.1511002071316,16.506200500931,76.85,81914672 2020-04-28,1531.43065404484,81756731.1354422,2827.25423646465,1144,16.1443645603023,15.7236789033349,76.85,81914672 2020-04-29,1437.36634945975,81755247.4904776,2641.0574085297,1304,15.1408363348932,14.584688808862,76.85,81914672 2020-04-30,1351.76501809884,81753853.5839483,2473.17304041166,1478,14.1719023343399,13.5177248832785,76.85,81914672 2020-05-01,1273.58541325891,81752541.4883153,2321.12013486645,1639,13.2634829206123,12.66561868184,76.85,81914672 2020-05-02,1201.94703326828,81751304.2341711,2182.84128565532,945,12.4314927484214,11.3105500806986,76.85,81914672 2020-05-03,1136.10079307393,81750135.6647355,2056.61675626995,793,11.6791870363822,10.1581313784666,75.46,81914672 2020-05-04,1075.40578035064,81749030.3165034,1940.99850746221,679,10.996321930649,9.74428610298287,71.76,81914672 2020-05-05,1019.31069885216,81747983.3206932,1834.75900404089,685,10.3711348393881,9.18394692467303,71.76,81914672 2020-05-06,967.338949785635,81746990.3213565,1736.85109975353,947,9.79733360427592,8.74812756376538,66.2,81914672 2020-05-07,919.076557545135,81746047.4069272,1646.37631646386,1284,9.26911509348983,8.51129575419651,64.35,81914672 2020-05-08,874.162335038713,81745151.0526812,1562.55954844611,1209,8.78150638009574,7.98635926906965,64.35,81914672 2020-05-09,832.279824450629,81744298.0721092,1484.72873096934,1251,8.33022311204133,8.35991872127621,64.35,81914672 2020-05-10,793.150654684376,81743485.5756138,1412.29837827938,667,7.91155557664601,8.2061001233088,64.35,81914672 2020-05-11,756.529036304666,81742710.9352602,1344.7561624352,357,7.52227642034789,7.81300815072543,64.35,81914672 2020-05-12,722.197175285465,81741971.7545569,1281.65190034311,933,7.15956542326705,8.11576221656604,64.35,81914672 2020-05-13,689.961433165349,81741265.8424357,1222.58846180551,798,6.82094779855107,7.93386562055696,64.35,81914672 2020-05-14,659.649096875562,81740591.1907574,1167.21422042983,933,6.50424328843648,7.50537095479062,64.35,81914672 2020-05-15,631.10564915642,81739945.9547888,1115.21675166383,913,6.20752393407919,7.14401932781956,64.35,81914672 2020-05-16,605.463410631516,81739328.7819299,1065.98565112342,620,5.93063042003434,6.37370555545898,61.57,81914672 2020-05-17,583.840891490949,81738736.8241098,1020.39364761275,583,5.67510871911924,6.27115982348071,61.57,81914672 2020-05-18,566.22149189447,81738165.4557662,980.331459316038,342,5.4427845948034,6.25284808562744,61.57,81914672 2020-05-19,552.24692666615,81737610.1495263,946.703256013277,513,5.23531230141582,5.74011942573609,59.72,81914672 2020-05-20,541.2017022681,81737066.9961746,919.517765532095,797,5.05370902172833,5.73889864321254,59.72,81914672 2020-05-21,532.037498796595,81736533.0210012,898.064298159589,745,4.89792301299113,5.50939152878498,59.72,81914672 2020-05-22,523.36889997017,81736006.4948957,881.010518469013,460,4.76639987244037,4.95637704561644,59.72,81914672 2020-05-23,514.71463467493,81735487.6039404,866.113582995114,638,4.65561535271894,4.97835113104036,59.72,81914672 2020-05-24,506.369763693182,81734977.0818899,851.760118758932,431,4.56103995382365,4.79279218746063,59.72,81914672 2020-05-25,498.261574082512,81734474.7855257,837.823948230827,289,4.47807567385686,4.72809071371244,59.72,81914672 2020-05-26,490.380217263472,81733980.4831368,824.287266400919,432,4.40254987622847,4.62920732930482,59.72,81914672 2020-05-27,482.716381766724,81733493.9525896,811.133264103611,362,4.33115201907612,4.0981669315602,59.72,81914672 2020-05-28,475.26125722463,81733014.9808082,798.346059535152,353,4.26184057561217,3.61962018232826,59.72,81914672 2020-05-29,468.006501213185,81732543.3632905,785.910635333072,741,4.19425512674779,3.96266007144605,59.72,81914672 2020-05-30,460.944208685162,81732078.9036558,773.812780698576,738,4.12861313041559,4.08473832380114,59.72,81914672 2020-05-31,454.066883761848,81731621.4132215,762.039038097457,286,4.06476268866404,3.90772485788627,59.72,81914672 2020-06-01,447.367413674277,81731170.7106073,750.576654123304,333,4.00263198708688,3.9614392889225,59.72,81914672 2020-06-02,440.839044665714,81730726.6213642,739.413534149336,213,3.94215298938332,3.69408791626487,59.72,81914672 2020-06-03,434.475359685728,81730288.9776268,728.538200433043,342,3.88326119270861,3.66967226579385,59.72,81914672 2020-06-04,428.270257722715,81729857.6177871,717.939753371306,394,3.82589540175248,3.71972434925943,59.72,81914672 2020-06-05,422.217934636492,81729432.3861882,707.607835633525,507,3.76999751989721,3.43406123874854,59.72,81914672 2020-06-06,416.31286536573,81729013.1328362,697.532598926839,407,3.71551235597025,3.02998222345321,59.72,81914672 2020-06-07,411.016985797786,81728599.8417015,687.581221571252,301,3.66295779289508,3.04829396130647,59.72,81914672 2020-06-08,406.857029705351,81728191.8944257,678.163217925598,214,3.61350342412348,2.90302084100392,59.72,81914672 2020-06-09,403.974799869097,81727787.8789367,670.130222683603,350,3.56850019833187,3.07026804673038,59.72,81914672 2020-06-10,402.354855242864,81727386.2625976,664.017807067461,318,3.52928804786038,3.04096926616516,59.72,81914672 2020-06-11,401.80124293499,81726985.628444,660.022592737787,555,3.49697513719192,3.23751525245685,59.72,81914672 2020-06-12,401.937802715281,81726584.8500998,658.02684200071,258,3.4722175065672,2.93354040409269,59.72,81914672 2020-06-13,402.201176971263,81726183.270453,657.608621882662,348,3.45499020399744,2.86151423520319,59.72,81914672 2020-06-14,402.372274042652,81725781.0392406,657.896522790873,247,3.44443689096563,2.79559197893144,59.72,81914672 2020-06-15,402.567694788698,81725378.5689928,658.224894722331,192,3.43920054586173,2.76873476341332,59.72,81914672 2020-06-16,402.75996844253,81724975.9049,658.54804186802,378,3.43771750088712,2.80291667407275,59.72,81914672 2020-06-17,402.949122672355,81724573.0500957,658.866009890155,345,3.43844297217935,2.83587780220862,59.72,81914672 2020-06-18,403.135184998738,81724170.0076853,659.178844213614,580,3.44007142533821,2.86639736529739,63.43,81914672 2020-06-19,403.318182793162,81723766.7807472,659.486590023396,770,3.44175656921314,3.49143801735543,63.43,81914672 2020-06-20,403.498143276648,81723363.3723322,659.789292262181,601,3.44333988301239,3.80029599581379,63.43,81914672 2020-06-21,403.675093518446,81722959.7854641,660.086995628005,687,3.44493034225978,4.33744030617616,63.43,81914672 2020-06-22,403.849060434783,81722556.0231396,660.379744572046,537,3.4464946110468,4.75861027680121,63.43,81914672 2020-06-23,404.020070787681,81722152.0883287,660.667583296507,503,3.44803292196764,4.91120809224506,63.43,81914672 2020-06-24,404.188151183832,81721747.9839747,660.950555752613,587,3.44954550632064,5.20663746294437,63.43,81914672 2020-06-25,404.353328073536,81721343.7129942,661.228705638704,630,3.45103259409754,5.26767658912191,63.43,81914672 2020-06-26,404.515627749691,81720939.2782776,661.502076398431,477,3.45249441397338,4.90998730972151,63.43,81914672 2020-06-27,404.675076346853,81720534.682689,661.770711219043,687,3.45393119329688,5.01497460674688,63.43,81914672 2020-06-28,404.831699840343,81720129.9290666,662.034653029781,256,3.45534315808128,4.48881733909647,63.43,81914672 2020-06-29,404.985524045412,81719725.0202224,662.293944500358,262,3.45673053299578,4.15310214511999,63.43,81914672 2020-06-30,405.136574616459,81719319.958943,662.548628039531,498,3.45809354135743,4.14699823250223,63.43,81914672 2020-07-01,405.284877046307,81718914.7479893,662.798745793768,466,3.45943240512347,3.99928354715258,63.43,81914672 2020-07-02,405.430456665525,81718509.3900966,663.044339645997,503,3.46074734488419,3.84424416666162,63.43,81914672 2020-07-03,405.573338641805,81718103.8879751,663.285451214446,446,3.46203857985625,3.80639990843154,63.43,81914672 2020-07-04,405.713547979384,81717698.2443101,663.522121851566,422,3.46330632787645,3.48289253969057,63.43,81914672 2020-07-05,405.851109518521,81717292.4617618,663.754392643034,239,3.4645508053959,3.46213923679021,63.43,81914672 2020-07-06,405.986047935016,81716886.5429655,663.982304406842,219,3.46577222747473,3.40964558827752,63.43,81914672 2020-07-07,406.118387739778,81716480.4905321,664.205897692455,390,3.46697080777707,3.27780107573403,55.09,81914672 2020-07-08,406.248153278437,81716074.3070481,664.425212780062,397,3.46814675856661,3.19356708160902,55.09,81914672 2020-07-09,406.375368731001,81715667.9950756,664.640289679883,442,3.46930029070243,3.11909934767242,55.09,81914672 2020-07-10,406.500058111556,81715261.5571526,664.851168131567,395,3.47043161363534,3.05683943897132,55.09,81914672 2020-07-11,406.62224526801,81714854.9957934,665.057887603648,378,3.47154093540449,3.00312500793509,55.09,81914672 2020-07-12,406.741953881873,81714448.3134883,665.260487293083,248,3.47262846263447,3.01411205064704,55.09,81914672 2020-07-13,406.859207468084,81714041.512704,665.459006124847,159,3.47369440053271,2.94086509923399,55.09,81914672 2020-07-14,406.97402937487,81713634.5958839,665.653482751606,412,3.47473895288726,2.96772231475211,55.09,81914672 2020-07-15,407.086442783652,81713227.5654481,665.843955553442,351,3.4757623220649,2.91156631866877,55.09,81914672 2020-07-16,408.867542619071,81712820.8862269,665.586399754189,534,3.47880472439311,3.02387831083545,55.09,81914672 2020-07-17,414.351597692197,81712412.8362214,666.38576797336,583,3.48838974669612,3.25338542526301,55.09,81914672 2020-07-18,424.35457155396,81711998.6373748,671.479685888239,529,3.51003706072791,3.43772358631919,55.09,81914672 2020-07-19,439.258396985176,81711572.6904713,683.186611394249,202,3.54973256619646,3.38156759023585,55.09,81914672 2020-07-20,458.859158234011,81711129.2944917,702.821908037487,249,3.61321319731701,3.49143801735543,55.09,81914672 2020-07-21,482.194973873036,81710663.2462526,730.707899033425,522,3.70504161176535,3.62572409494602,55.09,81914672 2020-07-22,507.244262198721,81710170.6705838,766.001662641885,454,3.82731252730423,3.75146469487176,55.09,81914672 2020-07-23,532.967208170981,81709650.883418,805.679931230861,569,3.97881123018851,3.79419208319604,55.09,81914672 2020-07-24,559.720870342267,81709104.6143658,847.036120571654,815,4.15627549770101,4.07741362865983,55.09,81914672 2020-07-25,587.368845344534,81708531.1435246,889.869502566948,781,4.35528047423388,4.38505082459465,55.09,81914672 2020-07-26,615.897273788738,81707929.5831402,934.168357163378,305,4.57091812801532,4.51079142452038,55.09,81914672 2020-07-27,645.287765683276,81707299.0615706,979.914096247506,340,4.7985069138793,4.62188263416351,55.09,81914672 2020-07-28,675.517265549521,81706638.7278866,1027.08095593632,633,5.03451138897075,4.75738949427766,55.09,81914672 2020-07-29,706.557961823406,81705947.7565873,1075.63574656567,684,5.27783007017683,5.03816947469435,55.09,81914672 2020-07-30,738.377245462885,81705225.3523806,1125.53766919286,902,5.52859105386472,5.44469005503678,55.09,81914672 2020-07-31,770.937722023211,81704470.7549798,1176.73820682097,870,5.78644089507625,5.51183309383208,57.87,81914672