date,I_in,S,I,I_obs,incidence,incidence_obs,stringency,N 2020-03-01,43.3307030315302,81914621,51,51,,,25,81914672 2020-03-02,54.9749289344327,81914572.0763335,64.7283923036159,33,,,25,81914672 2020-03-03,69.7176673141619,81914510.0190828,82.1240319843684,38,,,25,81914672 2020-03-04,88.3648774635148,81914431.3416868,104.14941441651,74,,,25,81914672 2020-03-05,111.920997695673,81914331.655668,132.009308915166,156.5,,,25,81914672 2020-03-06,141.631142076982,81914205.4515139,167.205532940815,239,,,25,81914672 2020-03-07,179.028234928767,81914045.8347854,211.600368650504,156,0.841080766880274,0.912534936354259,25,81914672 2020-03-08,225.983030491712,81913844.2134037,267.487621423939,107,1.06405953612955,0.980898757673106,25,81914672 2020-03-09,284.752890412811,81913589.9350833,337.668442153303,237,1.34456845579949,1.22993839247748,28.7,81914672 2020-03-10,358.022117224131,81913269.8794523,425.526064738022,157,1.69652548971153,1.37521151278003,32.87,81914672 2020-03-11,448.92241572454,81912868.0186152,535.089226900195,271,2.1366878311551,1.61570566991955,32.87,81914672 2020-03-12,561.016790574649,81912364.9739092,671.068052680481,802,2.68493612650197,2.40372078887162,32.87,81914672 2020-03-13,698.224583108891,81911737.6161182,838.838775018521,693,3.36441567203675,2.95795605456371,32.87,81914672 2020-03-14,864.661112416969,81910958.7810476,1044.34588244434,733,4.20142430644623,3.66234757065255,32.87,81914672 2020-03-15,1064.36564374774,81909997.1993151,1293.88448185535,1043,5.22490714875808,4.80500001269614,32.87,81914672 2020-03-16,1300.90069637097,81908817.7618081,1593.72612748954,1174,6.46540263161634,5.94887323726328,42.13,81914672 2020-03-17,1576.82884392953,81907382.2489944,1949.56401200444,1144,7.95330058316451,7.15378558800797,42.13,81914672 2020-03-18,1889.02267003955,81905649.4725203,2366.89956564487,1042,9.71134980579341,8.09500891366568,52.31,81914672 2020-03-19,2227.26941036558,81903583.867336,2844.17721502067,2801,11.745481883855,10.5353531782438,55.09,81914672 2020-03-20,2578.46405796204,81901165.5665496,3368.16769744693,2958,14.0408453748461,13.3004255940865,57.87,81914672 2020-03-21,2928.92311087153,81898390.3432799,3919.93174998424,2705,16.5608603465896,15.7078087305288,68.06,81914672 2020-03-22,3268.36818262612,81895267.7414488,4478.88086956457,1948,19.251468127914,16.8126169143423,76.85,81914672 2020-03-23,3592.99144922629,81891816.0857516,5027.39049342586,4062,22.0496124613923,20.3382368423571,76.85,81914672 2020-03-24,3907.24483682508,81888054.8530596,5555.23993428783,4764,24.8945435781226,24.7574695776112,76.85,81914672 2020-03-25,4212.23225424631,81883992.6387818,6065.96485360617,4118,27.7306772370681,28.5125966200536,76.85,81914672 2020-03-26,4502.02024579113,81879634.1503633,6564.46250716474,4954,30.5076533023883,31.1409413932586,76.85,81914672 2020-03-27,4773.97483676076,81874994.554272,7044.68102863605,5780,33.1878944914132,34.5859896747191,76.85,81914672 2020-03-28,5025.77417224514,81870092.9302159,7500.6148876687,6294,35.7476936216272,38.9673781517431,76.85,81914672 2020-03-29,5256.08756433343,81864950.1777586,7927.6804386696,3965,38.1742667045388,41.4296965017451,76.85,81914672 2020-03-30,5464.46616638249,81859588.0747852,8322.76607295653,4751,40.4589303325103,42.2708156604717,76.85,81914672 2020-03-31,5651.18904947057,81854028.4701819,8684.15734131152,4615,42.5879069493556,42.0889190644626,76.85,81914672 2020-04-01,5817.09320314109,81848292.6405988,9011.37294665161,5453,44.5470931484956,43.718663733403,76.85,81914672 2020-04-02,5903.22954808821,81842385.2445596,9319.95637287883,6156,46.2576649765767,45.1860443267111,76.85,81914672 2020-04-03,5842.42096015755,81836382.3061034,9561.30398566615,6174,47.5620053313752,45.6670326409901,76.85,81914672 2020-04-04,5630.52547334035,81830457.2193073,9631.87547951514,6082,48.3002751508469,45.4082267459974,76.85,81914672 2020-04-05,5297.37007223234,81824784.6179422,9477.02474653253,5936,48.3506721150182,47.8143890999161,76.85,81914672 2020-04-06,4899.40455095583,81819495.7224044,9100.62027236279,3677,47.6608547701759,46.5032686696225,76.85,81914672 2020-04-07,4502.8640037707,81814660.7052015,8552.07023271012,3834,46.2589996230298,45.5498375187293,76.85,81914672 2020-04-08,4174.96792247397,81810267.7963141,7918.76859501443,4003,44.2543217789103,43.7797028595805,76.85,81914672 2020-04-09,3914.55856437321,81806220.1372013,7315.81659751951,4974,41.8265869968984,42.3367379167434,76.85,81914672 2020-04-10,3686.83677613907,81802422.0757257,6803.91503986449,5323,39.195087497006,41.2978519892016,76.85,81914672 2020-04-11,3487.94377641856,81798836.8683899,6367.90289046955,4133,36.5794612061239,38.918546850801,76.85,81914672 2020-04-12,3313.02220167752,81795438.2086619,5992.58009095469,2821,34.1570040051053,35.1158092899401,76.85,81914672 2020-04-13,3158.20203351405,81792204.1319517,5666.4852103621,2537,32.0313744018496,33.7241172130922,76.85,81914672 2020-04-14,3020.37336018489,81789116.1472998,5380.82710344974,2082,30.2215757328324,31.5853062318311,76.85,81914672 2020-04-15,2897.0156186511,81786158.566695,5128.75932034547,2486,28.6614738943939,29.7333791436045,76.85,81914672 2020-04-16,2786.06885106006,81783317.9830959,4904.87660903967,2866,27.2838333743743,27.1599695839593,76.85,81914672 2020-04-17,2685.83607087583,81780582.8608616,4704.85870376238,3380,26.0618292073269,24.7879891407,76.85,81914672 2020-04-18,2594.90869214131,81777943.2117152,4525.21386178191,3609,24.9716275835235,24.1482990983593,76.85,81914672 2020-04-19,2512.10913179442,81775390.3362725,4363.09125514353,2458,23.9938869049267,23.7051550423104,76.85,81914672 2020-04-20,2436.44627787311,81772916.6162314,4216.14172574842,1775,23.112780092168,22.7749187593646,76.85,81914672 2020-04-21,2367.08066497099,81770515.3460141,4082.41305521338,1785,22.3152517870875,22.41234634987,76.85,81914672 2020-04-22,2303.29702885857,81768180.5953787,3960.27022853217,2237,21.5904505087615,22.1083715015059,76.85,81914672 2020-04-23,2244.48251353786,81765907.0965257,3848.33404170368,2352,20.9292913729205,21.4808892844007,76.85,81914672 2020-04-24,2190.10924109609,81763690.1507245,3745.4333407133,2337,20.3241167226701,20.2076131123372,76.85,81914672 2020-04-25,2139.7202741636,81761525.5506026,3650.56750685274,2055,19.7684306570801,18.3105170707392,76.85,81914672 2020-04-26,2092.91823571413,81759409.5150913,3562.87672640891,1737,19.2566897371137,17.430332871259,76.85,81914672 2020-04-27,2049.35602490677,81757338.6346622,3481.61823318675,1018,18.7841367212555,16.506200500931,76.85,81914672 2020-04-28,2008.72919739039,81755309.8249842,3406.14717642802,1144,18.3466675123443,15.7236789033349,76.85,81914672 2020-04-29,1970.76967590888,81753320.2875112,3335.90110171135,1304,17.9407239312607,14.584688808862,76.85,81914672 2020-04-30,1940.51108498921,81751368.9069426,3269.01348107398,1478,17.5696409236297,13.5177248832785,76.85,81914672 2020-05-01,1922.92309035633,81749448.0971687,3209.65574559641,1639,17.2434647402718,12.66561868184,76.85,81914672 2020-05-02,1918.61619651489,81747542.554178,3166.22549641755,945,16.9735447463924,11.3105500806986,76.85,81914672 2020-05-03,1927.28045987083,81745636.4779084,3143.47414315639,793,16.7713370444031,10.1581313784666,75.46,81914672 2020-05-04,1947.35471408492,81743715.1628241,3143.11221959652,679,16.6468156267725,9.74428610298287,71.76,81914672 2020-05-05,1975.56525589841,81741766.1607332,3164.33870155377,685,16.606329666587,9.18394692467303,71.76,81914672 2020-05-06,2006.07565767515,81739781.1488196,3203.57885137591,947,16.6494305921041,8.74812756376538,66.2,81914672 2020-05-07,2036.17919312181,81737760.7279639,3251.73271252094,1284,16.7662205465736,8.51129575419651,64.35,81914672 2020-05-08,2067.05299830613,81735709.1478342,3301.12034672405,1209,16.9421718193197,7.98635926906965,64.35,81914672 2020-05-09,2098.36090234338,81733626.4772679,3351.20501599948,1251,17.1616010148959,8.35991872127621,64.35,81914672 2020-05-10,2130.10793471077,81731512.2796536,3401.99488153905,667,17.4092092514764,8.2061001233088,64.35,81914672 2020-05-11,2162.29914839156,81729366.1133383,3453.49814583828,357,17.6716096604125,7.81300815072543,64.35,81914672 2020-05-12,2194.93961870492,81727187.5316049,3505.72305091966,933,17.9394180486418,8.11576221656604,64.35,81914672 2020-05-13,2228.03444208134,81724976.0826501,3558.67787647049,798,18.2103814535935,7.93386562055696,64.35,81914672 2020-05-14,2265.71755871203,81722732.4612809,3611.26479413184,933,18.4905978787904,7.50537095479062,64.35,81914672 2020-05-15,2313.4072638504,81720451.8920159,3667.25367321659,913,18.7913428607691,7.14401932781956,64.35,81914672 2020-05-16,2373.72765357425,81718121.494203,3735.1074223047,620,19.1275057782387,6.37370555545898,61.57,81914672 2020-05-17,2448.03335229656,81715725.7037818,3821.30044177087,583,19.51562357182,6.27115982348071,61.57,81914672 2020-05-18,2535.92906423007,81713248.3518878,3929.74605311785,342,19.9717444433514,6.25284808562744,61.57,81914672 2020-05-19,2634.90954650409,81710674.4999895,4061.58944030143,513,20.5088520420966,5.74011942573609,59.72,81914672 2020-05-20,2739.81100947542,81707992.7184102,4214.75623119847,797,21.1336199315341,5.73889864321254,59.72,81914672 2020-05-21,2848.1720173432,81705199.6884643,4381.60189724088,745,21.8446701553954,5.50939152878498,59.72,81914672 2020-05-22,2961.09501341766,81702295.4148998,4555.48353430569,460,22.635356040785,4.95637704561644,59.72,81914672 2020-05-23,3078.41825568007,81699276.0317501,4736.15398666201,638,23.4956300123464,4.97835113104036,59.72,81914672 2020-05-24,3200.3069498401,81696137.0566342,4923.86922001355,431,24.4139924731562,4.79279218746063,59.72,81914672 2020-05-25,3326.93199300224,81692873.8391323,5118.89410842771,289,25.3796350246788,4.72809071371244,59.72,81914672 2020-05-26,3458.47012727971,81689481.5550177,5321.5026827616,432,26.3850233887751,4.62920732930482,59.72,81914672 2020-05-27,3595.10409382188,81685955.2003352,5531.97838062933,362,27.4291502386592,4.0981669315602,59.72,81914672 2020-05-28,3737.0227868509,81682289.5853245,5750.61429735137,353,28.5142437241189,3.61962018232826,59.72,81914672 2020-05-29,3884.42140725934,81678479.3281907,5977.71343726201,741,29.641424449254,3.96266007144605,59.72,81914672 2020-05-30,4037.50161527239,81674518.8487207,6213.58896468125,738,30.8122566532728,4.08473832380114,59.72,81914672 2020-05-31,4202.99528464423,81670404.1960575,6456.80249614069,286,32.0363210489699,3.90772485788627,59.72,81914672 2020-06-01,4390.54596975433,81666122.4795794,6713.68891022837,333,33.3347624035933,3.9614392889225,59.72,81914672 2020-06-02,4606.18668466783,81661646.5015623,6998.99745108501,213,34.7358747188427,3.69408791626487,59.72,81914672 2020-06-03,4854.15618393223,81656942.5762378,7325.42162957978,342,36.2729035066895,3.66967226579385,59.72,81914672 2020-06-04,5135.79179282292,81651973.7405608,7702.23947652752,394,37.9804962636648,3.71972434925943,59.72,81914672 2020-06-05,5448.5481621613,81646702.9595468,8134.45678752799,507,39.8899548706674,3.43406123874854,59.72,81914672 2020-06-06,5784.58807694722,81641097.4892644,8621.46119054337,407,42.0227674902123,3.02998222345321,59.72,81914672 2020-06-07,6140.13683605102,81635137.9970567,9152.04595596281,301,44.3875960418139,3.04829396130647,59.72,81914672 2020-06-08,6517.85863585926,81628810.8484802,9715.80390501496,214,46.9845821667232,2.90302084100392,59.72,81914672 2020-06-09,6918.4129596266,81622094.669695,10313.7362062189,350,49.8073075936879,3.07026804673038,59.72,81914672 2020-06-10,7343.12849342954,81614965.9696077,10947.8439305368,318,52.8458014907242,3.04096926616516,59.72,81914672 2020-06-11,7793.40465656672,81607399.8933141,11620.2362954208,555,56.0901688291466,3.23751525245685,59.72,81914672 2020-06-12,8270.71451112788,81599370.149912,12333.1353382339,258,59.5354201865183,2.93354040409269,59.72,81914672 2020-06-13,8776.60767343489,81590848.9374025,13088.8806317338,348,63.1880254200321,2.86151423520319,59.72,81914672 2020-06-14,9312.71320711575,81581806.8646862,13889.9340156467,247,67.0610512084583,2.79559197893144,59.72,81914672 2020-06-15,9880.74247421679,81572212.8706861,14738.8843137286,192,71.1664010270568,2.76873476341332,59.72,81914672 2020-06-16,10475.8012560938,81562032.2472334,15640.2709164055,378,75.5091984888683,2.80291667407275,59.72,81914672 2020-06-17,11089.318244317,81551237.481875,16590.7430204938,345,80.082481466657,2.83587780220862,59.72,81914672 2020-06-18,11715.9545283644,81539814.7189742,17577.6016498971,580,84.8710617979043,2.86639736529739,63.43,81914672 2020-06-19,12352.5826575799,81527756.0461648,18589.6616548274,770,89.8541350945318,3.49143801735543,63.43,81914672 2020-06-20,12999.841894197,81515055.5721274,19619.4159685924,601,95.0097856241,3.80029599581379,63.43,81914672 2020-06-21,13663.1980088063,81501705.1593179,20664.5853308119,687,100.320781438977,4.33744030617616,63.43,81914672 2020-06-22,14354.0386660901,81487689.0705756,21729.7733847257,537,105.781703252683,4.75861027680121,63.43,81914672 2020-06-23,15079.0282829987,81472974.1496676,22831.4173311253,503,111.401242359065,4.91120809224506,63.43,81914672 2020-06-24,15837.8526723925,81457518.6403852,23984.9164177045,587,117.198170201339,5.20663746294437,63.43,81914672 2020-06-25,16632.5683155052,81441286.4809593,25193.4577544023,630,123.20028638773,5.26767658912191,63.43,81914672 2020-06-26,17464.6308861297,81424241.0551453,26459.3261197162,477,129.440985524693,4.90998730972151,63.43,81914672 2020-06-27,18335.529202983,81406344.27428,27784.864553302,687,135.954699342391,5.01497460674688,63.43,81914672 2020-06-28,19246.7829519396,81387556.5452401,29172.4716042774,256,142.77104225973,4.48881733909647,63.43,81914672 2020-06-29,20199.9399644152,81367836.7408975,30624.5979531012,262,149.907616399128,4.15310214511999,63.43,81914672 2020-06-30,21196.5730099851,81347142.1735346,32143.7423442141,498,157.375808088874,4.14699823250223,63.43,81914672 2020-07-01,22238.276059335,81325428.5717294,33732.4467631568,466,165.189333102979,3.99928354715258,63.43,81914672 2020-07-02,23326.6599718399,81302650.0612599,35393.2907885868,503,173.36136320808,3.84424416666162,63.43,81914672 2020-07-03,24463.3475605011,81278759.1506298,37128.8850465672,446,181.905274211437,3.80639990843154,63.43,81914672 2020-07-04,25649.9679857281,81253706.7218593,38941.8636918099,422,190.834613246994,3.48289253969057,63.43,81914672 2020-07-05,26888.1504285986,81227442.0272396,40834.8758383119,239,200.16306111853,3.46213923679021,63.43,81914672 2020-07-06,28179.516993865,81199912.6927939,42810.5758601696,219,209.90438930141,3.40964558827752,63.43,81914672 2020-07-07,29525.6747932028,81171064.7292423,44871.6124824182,390,220.072411195238,3.27780107573403,55.09,81914672 2020-07-08,30928.2071601191,81140842.5513124,47020.6165816854,397,230.680927213936,3.19356708160902,55.09,81914672 2020-07-09,32388.6639496871,81109189.0062902,49260.1876174386,442,241.74366329844,3.11909934767242,55.09,81914672 2020-07-10,33908.5508789785,81076045.412746,51592.8786168373,395,253.274202441022,3.05683943897132,55.09,81914672 2020-07-11,35489.3178678588,81041351.6104177,54021.1796398776,378,265.285908820229,3.00312500793509,55.09,81914672 2020-07-12,37132.346344859,81005046.0222668,56547.4996568534,248,277.791844162631,3.01411205064704,55.09,81914672 2020-07-13,38838.9354892683,80967065.7297599,59174.1467773996,159,290.804675973034,2.94086509923399,55.09,81914672 2020-07-14,40610.287388593,80927346.5624474,61903.3067797542,412,304.336577309818,2.96772231475211,55.09,81914672 2020-07-15,42447.491100219,80885823.2029335,64737.0199006428,351,318.399117827712,2.91156631866877,55.09,81914672 2020-07-16,44351.5056176818,80842429.3083321,67677.1558605851,534,333.003145868006,3.02387831083545,55.09,81914672 2020-07-17,46323.1417555011,80797097.6492989,70725.3871167055,583,348.158661447098,3.25338542526301,55.09,81914672 2020-07-18,48363.0429822216,80749760.2677082,73883.1603555198,529,363.87468007971,3.43772358631919,55.09,81914672 2020-07-19,50471.6652492039,80700348.6540033,77151.6662618807,202,380.159087474206,3.38156759023585,55.09,81914672 2020-07-20,52649.2558829058,80648793.9451927,80531.8076274723,249,397.018485255396,3.49143801735543,55.09,81914672 2020-07-21,54895.8316309083,80595027.1443857,84024.1658930764,522,414.458028005827,3.62572409494602,55.09,81914672 2020-07-22,57211.155976748,80538979.3626592,87628.9662533612,454,432.481252070655,3.75146469487176,55.09,81914672 2020-07-23,59594.7158656399,80480582.0839156,91346.0414911653,569,451.089896744174,3.79419208319604,55.09,81914672 2020-07-24,62045.6980122386,80419767.4532406,95174.7947500691,815,470.283718647944,4.07741362865983,55.09,81914672 2020-07-25,64562.964992465,80356468.5890795,99114.1614992523,781,490.060300320936,4.38505082459465,55.09,81914672 2020-07-26,67145.0313537691,80290619.9193325,103162.570992909,305,510.414854270154,4.51079142452038,55.09,81914672 2020-07-27,69790.0400115668,80222157.541221,107317.907577339,340,531.340023974381,4.62188263416351,55.09,81914672 2020-07-28,72495.7392334195,80151019.6044901,111577.47225164,633,552.825683591636,4.75738949427766,55.09,81914672 2020-07-29,75259.4605461415,80077146.7171945,115937.944941836,684,574.858738389675,5.03816947469435,55.09,81914672 2020-07-30,78078.0979336109,80000482.3729641,120395.348002347,902,597.422928194367,5.44469005503678,55.09,81914672 2020-07-31,80948.0887230555,79920973.3982812,124945.011510643,870,620.498636427462,5.51183309383208,57.87,81914672