date,I_in,S,I,I_obs,incidence,incidence_obs,stringency,N 2020-03-01,43.3307030315302,81914621,51,51,,,25,81914672 2020-03-02,54.9749289344327,81914572.0763335,64.7283923036159,33,,,25,81914672 2020-03-03,69.7176673141619,81914510.0190828,82.1240319843684,38,,,25,81914672 2020-03-04,88.3648774635148,81914431.3416868,104.14941441651,74,,,25,81914672 2020-03-05,111.920997695673,81914331.655668,132.009308915166,156.5,,,25,81914672 2020-03-06,141.631142076982,81914205.4515139,167.205532940815,239,,,25,81914672 2020-03-07,179.028234928767,81914045.8347854,211.600368650504,156,0.841080766880274,0.912534936354259,25,81914672 2020-03-08,225.983030491712,81913844.2134037,267.487621423939,107,1.06405953612955,0.980898757673106,25,81914672 2020-03-09,284.752890412811,81913589.9350833,337.668442153303,237,1.34456845579949,1.22993839247748,28.7,81914672 2020-03-10,358.022117224131,81913269.8794523,425.526064738022,157,1.69652548971153,1.37521151278003,32.87,81914672 2020-03-11,448.92241572454,81912868.0186152,535.089226900195,271,2.1366878311551,1.61570566991955,32.87,81914672 2020-03-12,561.016790574649,81912364.9739092,671.068052680481,802,2.68493612650197,2.40372078887162,32.87,81914672 2020-03-13,698.224583108891,81911737.6161182,838.838775018521,693,3.36441567203675,2.95795605456371,32.87,81914672 2020-03-14,864.661112416969,81910958.7810476,1044.34588244434,733,4.20142430644623,3.66234757065255,32.87,81914672 2020-03-15,1064.36564374774,81909997.1993151,1293.88448185535,1043,5.22490714875808,4.80500001269614,32.87,81914672 2020-03-16,1300.90069637097,81908817.7618081,1593.72612748954,1174,6.46540263161634,5.94887323726328,42.13,81914672 2020-03-17,1576.82884392953,81907382.2489944,1949.56401200444,1144,7.95330058316451,7.15378558800797,42.13,81914672 2020-03-18,1889.02267003955,81905649.4725203,2366.89956564487,1042,9.71134980579341,8.09500891366568,52.31,81914672 2020-03-19,2227.26941036558,81903583.867336,2844.17721502067,2801,11.745481883855,10.5353531782438,55.09,81914672 2020-03-20,2578.46405796204,81901165.5665496,3368.16769744693,2958,14.0408453748461,13.3004255940865,57.87,81914672 2020-03-21,2928.92311087153,81898390.3432799,3919.93174998424,2705,16.5608603465896,15.7078087305288,68.06,81914672 2020-03-22,3268.36818262612,81895267.7414488,4478.88086956457,1948,19.251468127914,16.8126169143423,76.85,81914672 2020-03-23,3592.99144922629,81891816.0857516,5027.39049342586,4062,22.0496124613923,20.3382368423571,76.85,81914672 2020-03-24,3907.24483682508,81888054.8530596,5555.23993428783,4764,24.8945435781226,24.7574695776112,76.85,81914672 2020-03-25,4212.23225424631,81883992.6387818,6065.96485360617,4118,27.7306772370681,28.5125966200536,76.85,81914672 2020-03-26,4502.02024579113,81879634.1503633,6564.46250716474,4954,30.5076533023883,31.1409413932586,76.85,81914672 2020-03-27,4773.97483676076,81874994.554272,7044.68102863605,5780,33.1878944914132,34.5859896747191,76.85,81914672 2020-03-28,5025.77417224514,81870092.9302159,7500.6148876687,6294,35.7476936216272,38.9673781517431,76.85,81914672 2020-03-29,5256.08756433343,81864950.1777586,7927.6804386696,3965,38.1742667045388,41.4296965017451,76.85,81914672 2020-03-30,5464.46616638249,81859588.0747852,8322.76607295653,4751,40.4589303325103,42.2708156604717,76.85,81914672 2020-03-31,5651.18904947057,81854028.4701819,8684.15734131152,4615,42.5879069493556,42.0889190644626,76.85,81914672 2020-04-01,5817.09320314109,81848292.6405988,9011.37294665161,5453,44.5470931484956,43.718663733403,76.85,81914672 2020-04-02,5903.22954808821,81842385.2445596,9319.95637287883,6156,46.2576649765767,45.1860443267111,76.85,81914672 2020-04-03,5842.42096015755,81836382.3061034,9561.30398566615,6174,47.5620053313752,45.6670326409901,76.85,81914672 2020-04-04,5630.52547334035,81830457.2193073,9631.87547951514,6082,48.3002751508469,45.4082267459974,76.85,81914672 2020-04-05,5297.37007223234,81824784.6179422,9477.02474653253,5936,48.3506721150182,47.8143890999161,76.85,81914672 2020-04-06,4899.40455095583,81819495.7224044,9100.62027236279,3677,47.6608547701759,46.5032686696225,76.85,81914672 2020-04-07,4502.8640037707,81814660.7052015,8552.07023271012,3834,46.2589996230298,45.5498375187293,76.85,81914672 2020-04-08,4174.96792247397,81810267.7963141,7918.76859501443,4003,44.2543217789103,43.7797028595805,76.85,81914672 2020-04-09,3914.55856437321,81806220.1372013,7315.81659751951,4974,41.8265869968984,42.3367379167434,76.85,81914672 2020-04-10,3686.83677613907,81802422.0757257,6803.91503986449,5323,39.195087497006,41.2978519892016,76.85,81914672 2020-04-11,3487.94377641856,81798836.8683899,6367.90289046955,4133,36.5794612061239,38.918546850801,76.85,81914672 2020-04-12,3313.02220167752,81795438.2086619,5992.58009095469,2821,34.1570040051053,35.1158092899401,76.85,81914672 2020-04-13,3158.20203351405,81792204.1319517,5666.4852103621,2537,32.0313744018496,33.7241172130922,76.85,81914672 2020-04-14,3020.37336018489,81789116.1472998,5380.82710344974,2082,30.2215757328324,31.5853062318311,76.85,81914672 2020-04-15,2897.0156186511,81786158.566695,5128.75932034547,2486,28.6614738943939,29.7333791436045,76.85,81914672 2020-04-16,2786.06885106006,81783317.9830959,4904.87660903967,2866,27.2838333743743,27.1599695839593,76.85,81914672 2020-04-17,2685.83607087583,81780582.8608616,4704.85870376238,3380,26.0618292073269,24.7879891407,76.85,81914672 2020-04-18,2594.90869214131,81777943.2117152,4525.21386178191,3609,24.9716275835235,24.1482990983593,76.85,81914672 2020-04-19,2512.10913179442,81775390.3362725,4363.09125514353,2458,23.9938869049267,23.7051550423104,76.85,81914672 2020-04-20,2436.44627787311,81772916.6162314,4216.14172574842,1775,23.112780092168,22.7749187593646,76.85,81914672 2020-04-21,2367.08066497099,81770515.3460141,4082.41305521338,1785,22.3152517870875,22.41234634987,76.85,81914672 2020-04-22,2303.29702885857,81768180.5953787,3960.27022853217,2237,21.5904505087615,22.1083715015059,76.85,81914672 2020-04-23,2244.48251353786,81765907.0965257,3848.33404170368,2352,20.9292913729205,21.4808892844007,76.85,81914672 2020-04-24,2190.10924109609,81763690.1507245,3745.4333407133,2337,20.3241167226701,20.2076131123372,76.85,81914672 2020-04-25,2139.7202741636,81761525.5506026,3650.56750685274,2055,19.7684306570801,18.3105170707392,76.85,81914672 2020-04-26,2092.91823571413,81759409.5150913,3562.87672640891,1737,19.2566897371137,17.430332871259,76.85,81914672 2020-04-27,2049.35602490677,81757338.6346622,3481.61823318675,1018,18.7841367212555,16.506200500931,76.85,81914672 2020-04-28,2008.72919739039,81755309.8249842,3406.14717642802,1144,18.3466675123443,15.7236789033349,76.85,81914672 2020-04-29,1970.76967590888,81753320.2875112,3335.90110171135,1304,17.9407239312607,14.584688808862,76.85,81914672 2020-04-30,1932.69193173613,81751366.7849409,3271.05036806943,1478,17.5600954379894,13.5177248832785,76.85,81914672 2020-05-01,1891.57147208461,81749449.5526004,3208.92753628179,1639,17.1956457469603,12.66561868184,76.85,81914672 2020-05-02,1846.81640219184,81747573.0904122,3144.71115945432,945,16.8380738189768,11.3105500806986,76.85,81914672 2020-05-03,1798.79429668152,81745742.3155621,3075.56740857714,793,16.4790124544479,10.1581313784666,75.46,81914672 2020-05-04,1748.85053266147,81743961.2046565,3000.7061322265,679,16.1121606012838,9.74428610298287,71.76,81914672 2020-05-05,1699.13002070999,81742231.8889255,2921.11821933439,685,15.7342073370866,9.18394692467303,71.76,81914672 2020-05-06,1652.40170138375,81740553.9301989,2839.29723160368,947,15.3455492777281,8.74812756376538,66.2,81914672 2020-05-07,1609.28340896272,81738923.0527067,2759.64674124704,1284,14.9507378051589,8.51129575419651,64.35,81914672 2020-05-08,1568.74780383944,81737334.2521356,2685.06827840123,1209,14.5566403127766,7.98635926906965,64.35,81914672 2020-05-09,1530.6780216854,81735784.7354603,2615.29029676091,1251,14.1707041028307,8.35991872127621,64.35,81914672 2020-05-10,1494.86136417084,81734272.1453117,2549.87361329752,667,13.7996680904901,8.2061001233088,64.35,81914672 2020-05-11,1461.10864712757,81732794.3249781,2488.43061003708,357,13.4483978253367,7.81300815072543,64.35,81914672 2020-05-12,1429.2510677928,81731349.2965018,2430.61792665436,933,13.1189343161412,8.11576221656604,64.35,81914672 2020-05-13,1399.13755576061,81729935.2416587,2376.13035539323,798,12.8097538733224,7.93386562055696,64.35,81914672 2020-05-14,1373.18464564449,81728551.1804079,2324.02853873225,933,12.5215286292316,7.50537095479062,64.35,81914672 2020-05-15,1354.0080125789,81727192.9898815,2276.31970396816,913,12.2593780449498,7.14401932781956,64.35,81914672 2020-05-16,1342.03698405941,81725852.5390133,2237.27831453632,620,12.0290883629915,6.37370555545898,61.57,81914672 2020-05-17,1336.92651481529,81724521.381083,2209.36926514757,583,11.8362842590386,6.27115982348071,61.57,81914672 2020-05-18,1337.45653148448,81723191.926395,2193.25124918983,342,11.6853319172614,6.25284808562744,61.57,81914672 2020-05-19,1341.52103346387,81721858.2758334,2187.98253233464,513,11.5782326245621,5.74011942573609,59.72,81914672 2020-05-20,1346.06606326498,81720517.0965461,2191.09827911789,797,11.5134438740247,5.73889864321254,59.72,81914672 2020-05-21,1349.94220854614,81719169.3774532,2197.82299358571,745,11.4850699130103,5.50939152878498,59.72,81914672 2020-05-22,1353.82109094356,81717817.4843175,2204.55514199479,460,11.4848417223446,4.95637704561644,59.72,81914672 2020-05-23,1357.56391243853,81716461.7806245,2211.05507560883,638,11.5037967251542,4.97835113104036,59.72,81914672 2020-05-24,1361.17419244098,81715102.4006727,2217.32862048636,431,11.5333978662364,4.79279218746063,59.72,81914672 2020-05-25,1364.65541483356,81713739.4752584,2223.38155770608,289,11.566601787689,4.72809071371244,59.72,81914672 2020-05-26,1368.01102396629,81712373.1317136,2229.21961567639,432,11.5989403051434,4.62920732930482,59.72,81914672 2020-05-27,1371.24442103751,81711003.4939473,2234.84846312468,362,11.6296776042838,4.0981669315602,59.72,81914672 2020-05-28,1374.35896084233,81709630.6824901,2240.27370273694,353,11.6594851487689,3.61962018232826,59.72,81914672 2020-05-29,1377.35794887022,81708254.8145423,2245.50086541769,741,11.6882185335851,3.96266007144605,59.72,81914672 2020-05-30,1380.24463873318,81706876.0040245,2250.53540514016,738,11.715906767867,4.08473832380114,59.72,81914672 2020-05-31,1385.2156592597,81705494.9635876,2254.80478157047,286,11.7452561703998,3.90772485788627,59.72,81914672 2020-06-01,1394.88562237886,81704109.5624239,2260.26639193329,333,11.7821606794545,3.9614392889225,59.72,81914672 2020-06-02,1410.11358479739,81702713.7724179,2271.07048149304,213,11.8335587499138,3.69408791626487,59.72,81914672 2020-06-03,1431.00145358627,81701300.7660345,2289.99358963007,342,11.9065090909086,3.66967226579385,59.72,81914672 2020-06-04,1456.73364394815,81699864.0600612,2318.25243106656,394,12.0070706644272,3.71972434925943,59.72,81914672 2020-06-05,1485.50956684813,81698398.4344747,2355.52994031323,507,12.1391002695484,3.43406123874854,59.72,81914672 2020-06-06,1514.43725002135,81696900.940021,2399.92103567645,407,12.3029202641986,3.02998222345321,59.72,81914672 2020-06-07,1542.29109736385,81695372.8113619,2447.05744158409,301,12.4946752139153,3.04829396130647,59.72,81914672 2020-06-08,1569.636408753,81693816.7924914,2493.45030200548,214,12.7080079198976,2.90302084100392,59.72,81914672 2020-06-09,1596.30933419645,81692233.7627107,2538.81519207351,350,12.9353124367234,3.07026804673038,59.72,81914672 2020-06-10,1622.29005183511,81690624.4045959,2583.11067158914,318,13.1688342144202,3.04096926616516,59.72,81914672 2020-06-11,1647.56205907717,81688989.4188798,2626.30078930149,555,13.4017942086066,3.23751525245685,59.72,81914672 2020-06-12,1672.11208835147,81687329.5211718,2668.35502353166,258,13.6295953057084,2.93354040409269,59.72,81914672 2020-06-13,1695.92999945659,81685645.4387758,2709.24817707024,348,13.8511584823701,2.86151423520319,59.72,81914672 2020-06-14,1719.00865172937,81683937.9076243,2748.96023106882,247,14.0668921843442,2.79559197893144,59.72,81914672 2020-06-15,1741.3437592851,81682207.6693505,2787.47616291597,192,14.276509517039,2.76873476341332,59.72,81914672 2020-06-16,1761.77959259797,81680455.1517935,2825.08979010024,378,14.478512716663,2.80291667407275,59.72,81914672 2020-06-17,1778.89689754769,81678682.2781912,2860.76867713052,345,14.6696956169773,2.83587780220862,59.72,81914672 2020-06-18,1792.21877499213,81676893.0706439,2892.28993508625,580,14.8462900076806,2.86639736529739,63.43,81914672 2020-06-19,1801.75250252125,81675091.9830719,2918.16362206525,770,15.0045527596449,3.49143801735543,63.43,81914672 2020-06-20,1808.06559818859,81673283.2014364,2937.80120408274,601,15.1414459388449,3.80029599581379,63.43,81914672 2020-06-21,1812.26112788732,81671470.0866881,2951.52004822904,687,15.2552869320163,4.33744030617616,63.43,81914672 2020-06-22,1815.9419267682,81669654.6487792,2960.52204902562,537,15.3463550711686,4.75861027680121,63.43,81914672 2020-06-23,1819.70881854227,81667836.659041,2967.23713209417,503,15.4170740578043,4.91120809224506,63.43,81914672 2020-06-24,1823.22007055421,81666015.1794424,2973.50389440583,587,15.4711830127989,5.20663746294437,63.43,81914672 2020-06-25,1826.55313036992,81664190.2782947,2979.45857501892,630,15.5130977938015,5.26767658912191,63.43,81914672 2020-06-26,1829.71516527989,81662362.1301874,2985.11350974588,477,15.5472341238092,4.90998730972151,63.43,81914672 2020-06-27,1832.71311486872,81660530.9026567,2990.48066282151,687,15.5773233814213,5.01497460674688,63.43,81914672 2020-06-28,1835.55369245411,81658696.7564125,2995.57162697813,256,15.6057585371731,4.48881733909647,63.43,81914672 2020-06-29,1838.24338717992,81656859.8455636,3000.39762483755,262,15.6329837702934,4.15310214511999,63.43,81914672 2020-06-30,1840.78846668445,81655020.3178408,3004.9695114744,498,15.6587174363479,4.14699823250223,63.43,81914672 2020-07-01,1843.19498027069,81653178.3148165,3009.29777801499,466,15.6831024570393,3.99928354715258,63.43,81914672 2020-07-02,1845.46876251124,81651333.9721217,3013.39255614587,503,15.7061943301794,3.84424416666162,63.43,81914672 2020-07-03,1847.61543722575,81649487.4196584,3017.26362341525,446,15.7280466693377,3.80639990843154,63.43,81914672 2020-07-04,1849.64042177407,81647638.7818084,3020.92040921989,422,15.7487112297785,3.48289253969057,63.43,81914672 2020-07-05,1851.54893161306,81645788.1776375,3024.37200137848,239,15.7682379382038,3.46213923679021,63.43,81914672 2020-07-06,1853.34598506979,81643935.7210951,3027.62715320087,219,15.7866749257679,3.40964558827752,63.43,81914672 2020-07-07,1855.03640828826,81642081.5212087,3030.69429097041,390,15.8040685638744,3.27780107573403,55.09,81914672 2020-07-08,1856.6248403106,81640225.6822736,3033.58152176397,397,15.8204635023049,3.19356708160902,55.09,81914672 2020-07-09,1858.11573825782,81638368.3040375,3036.29664154135,442,15.8359027092721,3.11909934767242,55.09,81914672 2020-07-10,1859.51338257877,81636509.4818797,3038.8471434421,395,15.8504275130252,3.05683943897132,55.09,81914672 2020-07-11,1860.82188233894,81634649.3069853,3041.24022623426,378,15.8640776446706,3.00312500793509,55.09,81914672 2020-07-12,1862.04518052426,81632787.8665138,3043.48280286471,248,15.8768912819042,3.01411205064704,55.09,81914672 2020-07-13,1863.18705933757,81630925.2437623,3045.5815090668,159,15.8889050933833,2.94086509923399,55.09,81914672 2020-07-14,1864.25114546815,81629061.5183243,3047.5427119851,412,15.9001542834916,2.96772231475211,55.09,81914672 2020-07-15,1865.24091531723,81627196.7662419,3049.37251878228,351,15.9106726372813,2.91156631866877,55.09,81914672 2020-07-16,1866.15970016431,81625331.0601538,3051.07678519682,534,15.9204925653969,3.02387831083545,55.09,81914672 2020-07-17,1867.01069126143,81623464.469438,3052.66112402453,583,15.9296451488103,3.25338542526301,55.09,81914672 2020-07-18,1867.7969448442,81621597.060349,3054.1309134999,529,15.9381601832174,3.43772358631919,55.09,81914672 2020-07-19,1868.52138705011,81619728.8961507,3055.49130555684,202,15.9460662229631,3.38156759023585,55.09,81914672 2020-07-20,1869.18681873612,81617860.0372437,3056.74723395133,249,15.9533906243823,3.49143801735543,55.09,81914672 2020-07-21,1869.79592018893,81615990.5412887,3057.90342223072,522,15.9601595884585,3.62572409494602,55.09,81914672 2020-07-22,1870.35125572263,81614120.4633241,3058.96439153752,454,15.9663982027148,3.75146469487176,55.09,81914672 2020-07-23,1870.85527815928,81612249.8558804,3059.93446823693,569,15.972130482269,3.79419208319604,55.09,81914672 2020-07-24,1871.31033318935,81610378.7690891,3060.81779135997,815,15.9773794099922,4.07741362865983,55.09,81914672 2020-07-25,1871.7186636095,81608507.2507878,3061.61831985549,781,15.9821669757231,4.38505082459465,55.09,81914672 2020-07-26,1872.08241343612,81606635.346621,3062.33983964592,305,15.9865142145011,4.51079142452038,55.09,81914672 2020-07-27,1872.40363189373,81604763.100137,3062.98597048323,340,15.9904412437854,4.62188263416351,55.09,81914672 2020-07-28,1872.68427727798,81602890.5528806,3063.56017260254,633,15.9939672996415,4.75738949427766,55.09,81914672 2020-07-29,1872.92622069347,81601017.7444822,3064.06575317229,684,15.9971107718766,5.03816947469435,55.09,81914672 2020-07-30,1873.13124966713,81599144.7127432,3064.50587254051,902,15.9998892381175,5.44469005503678,55.09,81914672 2020-07-31,1873.30107163832,81597271.4937177,3064.88355027763,870,16.002319496825,5.51183309383208,57.87,81914672