date,I_in,S,I,I_obs,incidence,incidence_obs,stringency,N 2020-03-01,43.3307030315302,81914621,51,51,,,25,81914672 2020-03-02,54.9749289344327,81914572.0763335,64.7283923036159,33,,,25,81914672 2020-03-03,69.7176673141619,81914510.0190828,82.1240319843684,38,,,25,81914672 2020-03-04,88.3648774635148,81914431.3416868,104.14941441651,74,,,25,81914672 2020-03-05,111.920997695673,81914331.655668,132.009308915166,156.5,,,25,81914672 2020-03-06,141.631142076982,81914205.4515139,167.205532940815,239,,,25,81914672 2020-03-07,179.028234928767,81914045.8347854,211.600368650504,156,0.841080766880274,0.912534936354259,25,81914672 2020-03-08,225.983030491712,81913844.2134037,267.487621423939,107,1.06405953612955,0.980898757673106,25,81914672 2020-03-09,284.752890412811,81913589.9350833,337.668442153303,237,1.34456845579949,1.22993839247748,28.7,81914672 2020-03-10,358.022117224131,81913269.8794523,425.526064738022,157,1.69652548971153,1.37521151278003,32.87,81914672 2020-03-11,448.92241572454,81912868.0186152,535.089226900195,271,2.1366878311551,1.61570566991955,32.87,81914672 2020-03-12,561.016790574649,81912364.9739092,671.068052680481,802,2.68493612650197,2.40372078887162,32.87,81914672 2020-03-13,698.224583108891,81911737.6161182,838.838775018521,693,3.36441567203675,2.95795605456371,32.87,81914672 2020-03-14,864.661112416969,81910958.7810476,1044.34588244434,733,4.20142430644623,3.66234757065255,32.87,81914672 2020-03-15,1064.36564374774,81909997.1993151,1293.88448185535,1043,5.22490714875808,4.80500001269614,32.87,81914672 2020-03-16,1300.90069637097,81908817.7618081,1593.72612748954,1174,6.46540263161634,5.94887323726328,42.13,81914672 2020-03-17,1576.82884392953,81907382.2489944,1949.56401200444,1144,7.95330058316451,7.15378558800797,42.13,81914672 2020-03-18,1889.02267003955,81905649.4725203,2366.89956564487,1042,9.71134980579341,8.09500891366568,52.31,81914672 2020-03-19,2227.26941036558,81903583.867336,2844.17721502067,2801,11.745481883855,10.5353531782438,55.09,81914672 2020-03-20,2578.46405796204,81901165.5665496,3368.16769744693,2958,14.0408453748461,13.3004255940865,57.87,81914672 2020-03-21,2928.92311087153,81898390.3432799,3919.93174998424,2705,16.5608603465896,15.7078087305288,68.06,81914672 2020-03-22,3268.36818262612,81895267.7414488,4478.88086956457,1948,19.251468127914,16.8126169143423,76.85,81914672 2020-03-23,3592.99144922629,81891816.0857516,5027.39049342586,4062,22.0496124613923,20.3382368423571,76.85,81914672 2020-03-24,3907.24483682508,81888054.8530596,5555.23993428783,4764,24.8945435781226,24.7574695776112,76.85,81914672 2020-03-25,4212.23225424631,81883992.6387818,6065.96485360617,4118,27.7306772370681,28.5125966200536,76.85,81914672 2020-03-26,4502.02024579113,81879634.1503633,6564.46250716474,4954,30.5076533023883,31.1409413932586,76.85,81914672 2020-03-27,4773.97483676076,81874994.554272,7044.68102863605,5780,33.1878944914132,34.5859896747191,76.85,81914672 2020-03-28,5025.77417224514,81870092.9302159,7500.6148876687,6294,35.7476936216272,38.9673781517431,76.85,81914672 2020-03-29,5256.08756433343,81864950.1777586,7927.6804386696,3965,38.1742667045388,41.4296965017451,76.85,81914672 2020-03-30,5464.46616638249,81859588.0747852,8322.76607295653,4751,40.4589303325103,42.2708156604717,76.85,81914672 2020-03-31,5651.18904947057,81854028.4701819,8684.15734131152,4615,42.5879069493556,42.0889190644626,76.85,81914672 2020-04-01,5817.09320314109,81848292.6405988,9011.37294665161,5453,44.5470931484956,43.718663733403,76.85,81914672 2020-04-02,4197.21972770076,81842374.1069034,9329.84325425006,6156,44.1749980028416,45.1860443267111,76.85,81914672 2020-04-03,1880.72456616405,81838343.3476124,8010.53572884893,6174,40.6429686362384,45.6670326409901,76.85,81914672 2020-04-04,873.404461350885,81836548.2274852,5671.19467696809,6082,35.5738282618568,45.4082267459974,76.85,81914672 2020-04-05,477.407423950812,81835666.6385597,3738.35708550955,5936,29.7400990608382,47.8143890999161,76.85,81914672 2020-04-06,292.25956896506,81835125.3631851,2431.92502807537,3677,23.4259596385166,46.5032686696225,76.85,81914672 2020-04-07,194.920682356124,81834830.8469438,1533.73456652113,3834,16.7650425721399,45.5498375187293,76.85,81914672 2020-04-08,147.116406720713,81834645.2410075,970.089672996547,4003,9.84323399013111,43.7797028595805,76.85,81914672 2020-04-09,116.991513470293,81834512.9157692,624.505465286438,4974,4.86216269409947,42.3367379167434,76.85,81914672 2020-04-10,88.9219383097929,81834410.3241641,414.655373548388,5323,2.6747613603625,41.2978519892016,76.85,81914672 2020-04-11,66.0265186101314,81834333.3096091,281.817055866691,4133,1.68912847796415,38.918546850801,76.85,81914672 2020-04-12,48.42696935609,81834276.4946282,194.804685302429,2821,1.16543663605002,35.1158092899401,76.85,81914672 2020-04-13,35.2832270404895,81834234.9688891,136.306587611699,2537,0.851724408862472,33.7241172130922,76.85,81914672 2020-04-14,25.6116260543734,81834204.7722677,96.2106055186917,2082,0.645034871850409,31.5853062318311,76.85,81914672 2020-04-15,18.551338134381,81834182.8772572,68.3352327032147,2486,0.488084882981099,29.7333791436045,76.85,81914672 2020-04-16,13.4201573191526,81834167.0284319,48.7545024708202,2866,0.361646781451326,27.1599695839593,76.85,81914672 2020-04-17,9.70057138317323,81834155.5679225,34.8966888148451,3380,0.2649347212155,24.7879891407,76.85,81914672 2020-04-18,7.00840809610721,81834147.2859712,25.0357143819037,3609,0.192886443326987,24.1482990983593,76.85,81914672 2020-04-19,5.06173646347554,81834141.3034716,17.9911935968237,2458,0.13994692488197,23.7051550423104,76.85,81914672 2020-04-20,3.65498026470174,81834136.9831613,12.9443891944356,1775,0.101335713967535,22.7749187593646,76.85,81914672 2020-04-21,2.72299342698134,81834133.8534741,9.331202202232,1785,0.0733936712680393,22.41234634987,76.85,81914672 2020-04-22,2.14207281572636,81834131.4981238,6.80263395260891,2237,0.0533615269427167,22.1083715015059,76.85,81914672 2020-04-23,1.75894765327548,81834129.618161,5.08158929510266,2352,0.0391257259791517,21.4808892844007,76.85,81914672 2020-04-24,1.48935079296128,81834128.0504253,3.91845630870904,2337,0.0291016113856001,20.2076131123372,76.85,81914672 2020-04-25,1.28500986499335,81834126.7035595,3.12494849227859,2055,0.0221145868497344,18.3105170707392,76.85,81914672 2020-04-26,1.11450523191581,81834125.5279831,2.56806024434317,1737,0.0172958759458322,17.430332871259,76.85,81914672 2020-04-27,0.954370911667418,81834124.5021036,2.15488800372015,1018,0.01399901924471,16.506200500931,76.85,81914672 2020-04-28,0.807018863857734,81834123.6229519,1.82174532986385,1144,0.0116600309824807,15.7236789033349,76.85,81914672 2020-04-29,0.682311106813252,81834122.880034,1.5399223820566,1304,0.00987797939969085,14.584688808862,76.85,81914672 2020-04-30,0.576903709632708,81834122.2519025,1.30180433343631,1478,0.00843496081122263,13.5177248832785,76.85,81914672 2020-05-01,0.48780128827481,81834121.7207968,1.10058294859006,1639,0.00721228667943038,12.66561868184,76.85,81914672 2020-05-02,0.412475717381739,81834121.271712,0.93051924947013,945,0.00614711224082479,11.3105500806986,76.85,81914672 2020-05-03,0.348792565761362,81834120.8919683,0.786773116555528,793,0.00521234359992191,10.1581313784666,75.46,81914672 2020-05-04,0.29494930470927,81834120.57085,0.66526074266829,679,0.00440733322649559,9.74428610298287,71.76,81914672 2020-05-05,0.249423351542614,81834120.2992999,0.562535191646121,685,0.0037266303698509,9.18394692467303,71.76,81914672 2020-05-06,0.210928344440707,81834120.0696619,0.475686176926189,947,0.00315117453164338,8.74812756376538,66.2,81914672 2020-05-07,0.178377316933017,81834119.8754638,0.402255866921884,1284,0.00266466047626183,8.51129575419651,64.35,81914672 2020-05-08,0.15085166350509,81834119.7112338,0.340168082363415,1209,0.00225331826302595,7.98635926906965,64.35,81914672 2020-05-09,0.127574971430184,81834119.5723455,0.287668703944939,1251,0.00190551641142169,8.35991872127621,64.35,81914672 2020-05-10,0.107890945626997,81834119.4548874,0.243275478411389,667,0.00161142792366657,8.2061001233088,64.35,81914672 2020-05-11,0.0912447790567559,81834119.3555519,0.205735714393871,357,0.00136274899878176,7.81300815072543,64.35,81914672 2020-05-12,0.0813701139354301,81834119.2710294,0.174477257066518,933,0.00115759254328478,8.11576221656604,64.35,81914672 2020-05-13,0.0799230411157047,81834119.193987,0.152146379478933,798,0.000997663558493135,7.93386562055696,64.35,81914672 2020-05-14,0.085569919207809,81834119.1156208,0.141230719821175,933,0.000884365909293968,7.50537095479062,64.35,81914672 2020-05-15,0.0987131059353176,81834119.0282489,0.142302959163265,913,0.000820716069409639,7.14401932781956,64.35,81914672 2020-05-16,0.121113526400523,81834118.923241,0.156425973997626,620,0.000812828050240546,6.37370555545898,61.57,81914672 2020-05-17,0.154835184774807,81834118.7897748,0.185839128359603,583,0.000870136756973584,6.27115982348071,61.57,81914672 2020-05-18,0.199447730135385,81834118.6152879,0.233002631628071,342,0.001002229028647,6.25284808562744,61.57,81914672 2020-05-19,0.254892612485667,81834118.3891071,0.297789321344679,513,0.00121406226232001,5.74011942573609,59.72,81914672 2020-05-20,0.32557971925677,81834118.1003097,0.380395086868462,797,0.00151395564178818,5.73889864321254,59.72,81914672 2020-05-21,0.415839195168096,81834117.7314362,0.485887553842405,745,0.00191714260194629,5.50939152878498,59.72,81914672 2020-05-22,0.531071041248082,81834117.2603233,0.62059011306901,460,0.00244495761329464,4.95637704561644,59.72,81914672 2020-05-23,0.678152926177778,81834116.658698,0.792562164628628,638,0.00312498157747196,4.97835113104036,59.72,81914672 2020-05-24,0.865836865129903,81834115.8905094,1.01206873406032,431,0.00399296000306475,4.79279218746063,59.72,81914672 2020-05-25,1.1052475538863,81834114.9098148,1.29217272746106,289,0.00509874459773531,4.72809071371244,59.72,81914672 2020-05-26,1.40302049015456,81834113.6590139,1.64862411258999,432,0.00650035904559502,4.62920732930482,59.72,81914672 2020-05-27,1.75802361451024,81834112.0769168,2.09240718141731,362,0.00824906151888756,4.0981669315602,59.72,81914672 2020-05-28,2.16704657923848,81834110.1075938,2.62534239907009,353,0.0103869048884739,3.61962018232826,59.72,81914672 2020-05-29,2.62624897040767,81834107.6996803,3.24490898979329,741,0.0129446614881214,3.96266007144605,59.72,81914672 2020-05-30,3.13606133199322,81834104.8053909,3.94714478708557,738,0.0159452331144296,4.08473832380114,59.72,81914672 2020-05-31,3.70843507109161,81834101.3732231,4.73301800812744,286,0.0194154273257446,3.90772485788627,59.72,81914672 2020-06-01,4.37626018378603,81834097.3323262,5.618203208146,333,0.0234086223786403,3.9614392889225,59.72,81914672 2020-06-02,5.17035185705343,81834092.5703813,6.64251418710265,213,0.0280077146717754,3.69408791626487,59.72,81914672 2020-06-03,6.10448087483691,81834086.9455071,7.84938830536699,342,0.0333137937345429,3.66967226579385,59.72,81914672 2020-06-04,7.20103932037818,81834080.3073098,9.26878480821698,394,0.039459204096608,3.71972434925943,59.72,81914672 2020-06-05,8.48581933934029,81834072.4807229,10.9354970542518,507,0.0466124651985174,3.43406123874854,59.72,81914672 2020-06-06,9.98777538997239,81834063.2633145,12.8890049969581,407,0.054976917976866,3.02998222345321,59.72,81914672 2020-06-07,11.7390549554403,81834052.4220983,15.1737191415998,301,0.0647805583849589,3.04829396130647,59.72,81914672 2020-06-08,13.7748719806892,81834039.690389,17.8390746235531,214,0.0762542194122571,2.90302084100392,59.72,81914672 2020-06-09,15.9686849426769,81834024.7848826,20.9205402970565,350,0.0894366357266671,3.07026804673038,59.72,81914672 2020-06-10,18.0386151379646,81834007.6281654,24.2777103913169,318,0.104005618268803,3.04096926616516,59.72,81914672 2020-06-11,19.7491420510565,81833988.4813899,27.5796934773488,555,0.119324122786136,3.23751525245685,59.72,81914672 2020-06-12,20.9533013324861,81833967.8172749,30.4906764431522,258,0.134544206916053,2.93354040409269,59.72,81914672 2020-06-13,21.6570995839711,81833946.2007734,32.7643993834825,348,0.148789913953735,2.86151423520319,59.72,81914672 2020-06-14,22.0395758890776,81833924.1160921,34.3336881762532,247,0.16136460989299,2.79559197893144,59.72,81914672 2020-06-15,22.4284164503088,81833901.7949685,35.3564267327707,192,0.171928705748271,2.76873476341332,59.72,81914672 2020-06-16,22.9349456251472,81833879.11989,36.1759933912654,378,0.18043299504393,2.80291667407275,59.72,81914672 2020-06-17,23.4475538325675,81833855.9288548,37.0063782403491,345,0.18703613287326,2.83587780220862,59.72,81914672 2020-06-18,23.9625509976375,81833832.2239859,37.8416305636599,580,0.192179788879819,2.86639736529739,63.43,81914672 2020-06-19,24.4795626588898,81833808.0030812,38.6811583281685,770,0.196484587080565,3.49143801735543,63.43,81914672 2020-06-20,24.9982088051691,81833783.2643157,39.524357666659,601,0.200563354827079,3.80029599581379,63.43,81914672 2020-06-21,25.5181049890145,81833758.0062469,40.3706145932812,687,0.204809882359945,4.33744030617616,63.43,81914672 2020-06-22,26.0388634660273,81833732.2278183,41.2193067788864,537,0.20921745297894,4.75861027680121,63.43,81914672 2020-06-23,26.560094353049,81833705.9283625,42.0698053753117,503,0.213642971191235,4.91120809224506,63.43,81914672 2020-06-24,27.0814067977848,81833679.1076024,42.9214768772802,587,0.218079115384326,5.20663746294437,63.43,81914672 2020-06-25,27.6024101524041,81833651.7656519,43.7736850102097,630,0.222522591828651,5.26767658912191,63.43,81914672 2020-06-26,28.1227151436233,81833623.9030149,44.6257926319689,477,0.226970088712645,4.90998730972151,63.43,81914672 2020-06-27,28.6419350318335,81833595.5205834,45.4771636365013,687,0.231418286010761,5.01497460674688,63.43,81914672 2020-06-28,29.1596867519746,81833566.6196343,46.3271648472493,256,0.235863865385064,4.48881733909647,63.43,81914672 2020-06-29,29.6755920290751,81833537.2018254,47.1751678884499,262,0.240303520057731,4.15310214511999,63.43,81914672 2020-06-30,30.1892784616668,81833507.2691899,48.0205510226466,498,0.24473396459228,4.14699823250223,63.43,81914672 2020-07-01,30.7003805666448,81833476.82413,48.8627009431545,466,0.249151944522493,3.99928354715258,63.43,81914672 2020-07-02,31.2085407795682,81833445.8694095,49.7010145107266,503,0.253554245769777,3.84424416666162,63.43,81914672 2020-07-03,31.7134104048765,81833414.4081454,50.5349004242863,446,0.257937703792111,3.80639990843154,63.43,81914672 2020-07-04,32.2146505110277,81833382.4437987,51.3637808163071,422,0.262299212410731,3.48289253969057,63.43,81914672 2020-07-05,32.7119327661314,81833349.9801638,52.1870927642243,239,0.266635732264167,3.46213923679021,63.43,81914672 2020-07-06,33.2049402102546,81833317.0213582,53.0042897101347,219,0.270944298843277,3.40964558827752,63.43,81914672 2020-07-07,33.6933679611995,81833283.5718101,53.8148427819785,390,0.275222030065264,3.27780107573403,55.09,81914672 2020-07-08,34.1769238511901,81833249.6362464,54.6182420103761,397,0.279466133349405,3.19356708160902,55.09,81914672 2020-07-09,34.6553289925506,81833215.2196795,55.4139974363049,442,0.283673912162195,3.11909934767242,55.09,81914672 2020-07-10,35.1283182710917,81833180.3273938,56.2016401058311,395,0.287842772004807,3.05683943897132,55.09,81914672 2020-07-11,35.5956407665528,81833144.964932,56.9807229491401,378,0.291970225821048,3.00312500793509,55.09,81914672 2020-07-12,36.0570601000529,81833109.1380802,57.7508215421363,248,0.296053898809352,3.01411205064704,55.09,81914672 2020-07-13,36.5123547090848,81833072.8528535,58.511534749875,159,0.300091532627662,2.94086509923399,55.09,81914672 2020-07-14,36.9613180511373,81833036.1154814,59.2624852520604,412,0.304080988985295,2.96772231475211,55.09,81914672 2020-07-15,37.40375873754,81832998.9323918,60.003319951756,351,0.308020252620935,2.91156631866877,55.09,81914672 2020-07-16,37.8395005995965,81832961.310197,60.7337102693227,534,0.311907433670803,3.02387831083545,55.09,81914672 2020-07-17,38.2683826894959,81832923.2556774,61.453352324401,583,0.315740769435615,3.25338542526301,55.09,81914672 2020-07-18,38.6902592188687,81832884.775767,62.1619670094855,529,0.31951862555926,3.43772358631919,55.09,81914672 2020-07-19,39.1049994381809,81832845.8775379,62.8592999593023,202,0.32323949663609,3.38156759023585,55.09,81914672 2020-07-20,39.5124874604371,81832806.5681856,63.5451214207803,249,0.326902006267274,3.49143801735543,55.09,81914672 2020-07-21,39.9126220328905,81832766.8550143,64.2192260289105,522,0.330504906589884,3.62572409494602,55.09,81914672 2020-07-22,40.305316260634,81832726.7454218,64.8814324942092,454,0.334047077305154,3.75146469487176,55.09,81914672 2020-07-23,40.6904972860779,81832686.2468863,65.531583207844,569,0.337527524234712,3.79419208319604,55.09,81914672 2020-07-24,41.0681059283995,81832645.3669515,66.1695437707422,815,0.340945377435545,4.07741362865983,55.09,81914672 2020-07-25,41.4380962870932,81832604.113214,66.795202453191,781,0.344299888905998,4.38505082459465,55.09,81914672 2020-07-26,41.8004353137455,81832562.4933095,67.4084695915507,305,0.34759042991624,4.51079142452038,55.09,81914672 2020-07-27,42.1551023561217,81832520.5149008,68.0092769287468,340,0.350816487997367,4.62188263416351,55.09,81914672 2020-07-28,42.5020886785767,81832478.1856652,68.5975769051911,633,0.353977663623738,4.75738949427766,55.09,81914672 2020-07-29,42.841396962702,81832435.5132829,69.1733419067005,684,0.357073666623138,5.03816947469435,55.09,81914672 2020-07-30,43.1730407919862,81832392.5054262,69.7365634758533,902,0.360104312349105,5.44469005503678,55.09,81914672 2020-07-31,43.4970441241423,81832349.1697483,70.2872514930903,870,0.363069517649253,5.51183309383208,57.87,81914672