date,I_in,S,I,I_obs,incidence,incidence_obs,stringency,N
2020-03-01,43.33068563961737,81914621.0,51.0,51.0,,,25.0,81914672
2020-03-02,54.974907989572095,81914572.0763526,64.72839362098468,33.0,,,25.0,81914672
2020-03-03,69.71764218543514,81914510.01912488,82.12403534092539,38.0,,,25.0,81914672
2020-03-04,88.36484744749059,81914431.3417564,104.1494208314635,74.0,,,25.0,81914672
2020-03-05,111.92096202713422,81914331.65577036,132.00931981380648,156.5,,,25.0,81914672
2020-03-06,141.63109995202097,81914205.4516551,167.20555029976413,239.0,,,25.0,81914672
2020-03-07,179.0281855462164,81914045.83497234,211.6003951905126,156.0,0.8410804975053636,0.912534936354259,25.0,81914672
2020-03-08,225.98297312082448,81913844.21364391,267.48766086365924,107.0,1.0640592179490065,0.9808987576731064,25.0,81914672
2020-03-09,284.7528244971051,81913589.93538517,337.6684995397795,237.0,1.3445680827193287,1.2299383924774794,28.7,81914672
2020-03-10,358.02204253304853,81913269.87982441,425.5261468711032,157.0,1.6965250561265022,1.3752115127800304,32.87,81914672
2020-03-11,448.9223325649607,81912868.0190663,535.0893428675145,271.0,2.136687332693355,1.6157056699195473,32.87,81914672
2020-03-12,561.0167000719963,81912364.97444731,671.068214515009,802.0,2.6849355610996923,2.40372078887162,32.87,81914672
2020-03-13,698.22448756019,81911737.61674957,838.8389984790548,693.0,3.364415041415708,2.957956054563705,32.87,81914672
2020-03-14,864.6610157032013,81910958.78177552,1044.3461878969379,733.0,4.201423618044062,3.662347570652545,32.87,81914672
2020-03-15,1064.3655517680352,81909997.20013794,1293.884895196908,1043.0,5.2249064181060705,4.805000012696138,32.87,81914672
2020-03-16,1300.900617427124,81908817.7627172,1593.7266810020935,1174.0,6.465401885059805,5.9488732372632835,42.13,81914672
2020-03-17,1576.8287889524436,81907382.2499715,1949.5647449643518,1144.0,7.953299860674471,7.15378558800797,42.13,81914672
2020-03-18,1889.0226468973988,81905649.47353335,2366.9005258949555,1042.0,9.711349156571597,8.095008913665675,52.31,81914672
2020-03-19,2227.2694180896665,81903583.86834382,2844.178451975365,2801.0,11.745481354546667,10.53535317824382,55.09,81914672
2020-03-20,2578.464087433711,81901165.56751557,3368.1692483895536,2958.0,14.0408449981605,13.300425594086489,57.87,81914672
2020-03-21,2928.92314658771,81898390.34418234,3919.9336334410536,2705.0,16.56086013157214,15.707808730528763,68.06,81914672
2020-03-22,3268.3682083116196,81895267.74228714,4478.8830839202765,1948.0,19.251468056540194,16.812616914342282,76.85,81914672
2020-03-23,3592.9914556355534,81891816.08654562,5027.39302164207,4062.0,22.049612494216056,20.33823684235713,76.85,81914672
2020-03-24,3907.24482983244,81888054.85384007,5555.24275427718,4764.0,24.89454366952491,24.7574695776112,76.85,81914672
2020-03-25,4212.232244540775,81883992.63956922,6065.967956650423,4118.0,27.730677344873545,28.51259662005361,76.85,81914672
2020-03-26,4502.020237744545,81879634.15116,6564.46589883837,4954.0,30.50765339094119,31.140941393258586,76.85,81914672
2020-03-27,4773.974835381965,81874994.55507383,7044.684712464502,5780.0,33.18789454230447,34.58598967471908,76.85,81914672
2020-03-28,5025.774182289087,81870092.93101382,7500.618863362093,6294.0,35.7476936411782,38.96737815174308,76.85,81914672
2020-03-29,5256.0875900331885,81864950.17853895,7927.684702146969,3965.0,38.1742667241072,41.429696501745134,76.85,81914672
2020-03-30,5464.4662112724645,81859588.07553051,8322.770616590607,4751.0,40.45893039905533,42.27081566047166,76.85,81914672
2020-03-31,5651.189116298757,81854028.47087157,8684.162154355845,4615.0,42.58790710601976,42.088919064462594,76.85,81914672
2020-04-01,5817.093293856887,81848292.64120984,9011.378015793709,5453.0,44.547093427752344,43.71866373340298,76.85,81914672
2020-04-02,5771.994169862709,81842351.48224422,9352.494717989648,6156.0,46.09745540944735,45.1860443267111,76.85,81914672
2020-04-03,5248.950428692121,81836534.19744064,9426.15368968394,6174.0,46.67729731287358,45.66703264099013,76.85,81914672
2020-04-04,4307.505897910237,81831382.16571984,8945.649047678276,6082.0,45.80044794408305,45.40822674599735,76.85,81914672
2020-04-05,3168.5989413635243,81827325.17506066,7865.76756605729,5936.0,43.25207828367634,47.81438909991607,76.85,81914672
2020-04-06,2116.039772530997,81824440.08737881,6401.945372430445,3677.0,39.16437780586515,46.50326866962246,76.85,81914672
2020-04-07,1344.7309544418304,81822575.92789009,4848.167057816858,3834.0,33.907128943467306,45.54983751872925,76.85,81914672
2020-04-08,907.3876959573238,81821418.27016012,3483.1026770554417,4003.0,27.91344615377175,43.77970285958052,76.85,81914672
2020-04-09,658.1039684752724,81820642.69513784,2461.273411205637,4974.0,21.670498368560033,42.33673791674341,76.85,81914672
2020-04-10,476.51179423958257,81820080.19665907,1749.9041562985458,5323.0,15.844388688901505,41.29785198920164,76.85,81914672
2020-04-11,344.6277008897175,81819673.15203688,1249.3629519199153,4133.0,11.00657624301816,38.918546850801036,76.85,81914672
2020-04-12,249.06619603669628,81819378.87324364,894.6856217025222,2821.0,7.44246169058874,35.115809289940145,76.85,81914672
2020-04-13,179.92027811408101,81819166.24444488,642.0850779981494,2537.0,5.078880848298463,33.72411721309218,76.85,81914672
2020-04-14,129.93161520444792,81819012.66921908,461.5210307437589,2082.0,3.5958750453363493,31.585306231831094,76.85,81914672
2020-04-15,93.81280019318022,81818901.77429551,332.10689523426754,2486.0,2.6026770309877794,29.733379143604456,76.85,81914672
2020-04-16,67.72511407425057,81818821.7118473,239.1748915439614,2866.0,1.8819528432610415,27.159969583959267,76.85,81914672
2020-04-17,48.88731427557791,81818763.9161146,172.34811404843572,3380.0,1.3599163514784645,24.78798914069997,76.85,81914672
2020-04-18,35.2869246179045,81818722.19770567,124.24534179571336,3609.0,0.9822785379841824,24.148299098359324,76.85,81914672
2020-04-19,25.468955855429428,81818692.08601217,89.59534001300281,2458.0,0.7093149348566903,23.70515504231037,76.85,81914672
2020-04-20,18.382055574388374,81818670.3527312,64.62279760529768,1775.0,0.5121118958947659,22.774918759364624,76.85,81914672
2020-04-21,13.682990012696472,81818654.64105664,46.6427746326194,1785.0,0.37019760587386286,22.41234634987002,76.85,81914672
2020-04-22,10.746158856518385,81818642.86392316,33.99774939476568,2237.0,0.2687913018399996,22.10837150150586,76.85,81914672
2020-04-23,8.805032735999648,81818633.4993297,25.366957816944364,2352.0,0.19686269625606845,21.480889284400725,76.85,81914672
2020-04-24,7.438137535765655,81818625.7103422,19.52846841273786,2337.0,0.1462622656765353,20.20761311233719,76.85,81914672
2020-04-25,6.403980634228601,81818619.02864523,15.5479760780953,2055.0,0.11100247243256565,18.310517070739174,76.85,81914672
2020-04-26,5.545641881697438,81818613.19870037,12.761563293713573,1737.0,0.08668043892221722,17.43033287125901,76.85,81914672
2020-04-27,4.746011759405849,81818608.10597326,10.704598998667745,1018.0,0.07003379494251293,16.50620050093102,76.85,81914672
2020-04-28,4.013665769205178,81818603.73563762,9.052407720693754,1144.0,0.058229652891512225,15.723678903334923,76.85,81914672
2020-04-29,3.3940707052938666,81818600.04042614,7.65469647356047,1304.0,0.049254352164892067,14.584688808861983,76.85,81914672
2020-04-30,2.870149892297366,81818596.91563506,6.472891053672745,1478.0,0.04200915090997857,13.51772488327854,76.85,81914672
2020-05-01,2.427122319331594,81818594.27318753,5.473612870298501,1639.0,0.03589179110850849,12.665618681840048,76.85,81914672
2020-05-02,2.0524926901056633,81818592.03861275,4.628651399376483,945.0,0.03057957067488099,11.310550080698608,76.85,81914672
2020-05-03,1.7356973510804332,81818590.14894234,3.914161780048073,793.0,0.025928456976205615,10.158131378466607,75.46,81914672
2020-05-04,1.4678052417612033,81818588.55093242,3.3099876259731658,679.0,0.02192647975087455,9.744286102982871,71.76,81914672
2020-05-05,1.2412652673198104,81818587.19956088,2.799089332262083,685.0,0.018541981669889292,9.18394692467303,71.76,81914672
2020-05-06,1.0496928518777697,81818586.05675708,2.3670613150174358,947.0,0.015680006157839266,8.748127563765378,66.2,81914672
2020-05-07,0.8876895704845966,81818585.09032813,2.0017242572466043,1284.0,0.01325985324333725,8.511295754196514,64.35,81914672
2020-05-08,0.7506907153275398,81818584.27305101,1.6927806416892526,1209.0,0.011213294839240783,7.986359269069648,64.35,81914672
2020-05-09,0.6348364569314974,81818583.58190517,1.4315237008624662,1251.0,0.009482644885378836,8.359918721276209,64.35,81914672
2020-05-10,0.536862938839209,81818582.9974235,1.210591467165065,667.0,0.008019128786283398,8.2061001233088,64.35,81914672
2020-05-11,0.45401021509733214,81818582.50314379,1.0237589104307911,357.0,0.006781505535269378,7.8130081507254285,64.35,81914672
2020-05-12,0.40429608806314976,81818582.08386286,0.8669853908163812,933.0,0.0057597481884821495,8.11576221656604,64.35,81914672
2020-05-13,0.39553711552078485,81818581.7043994,0.7530448353139643,798.0,0.004961166297857006,7.933865620556962,64.35,81914672
2020-05-14,0.42102439878407355,81818581.32127608,0.6949635063554627,933.0,0.004391469611895152,7.505370954790615,64.35,81914672
2020-05-15,0.48249603676738795,81818580.89679058,0.695631445996904,913.0,0.00406406223539958,7.144019327819564,64.35,81914672
2020-05-16,0.5882850865840523,81818580.3891647,0.7598829912700346,620.0,0.004007233136032077,6.373705555458978,61.57,81914672
2020-05-17,0.7484627634965884,81818579.74605349,0.8984062964046868,583.0,0.004265550503960229,6.2711598234807076,61.57,81914672
2020-05-18,0.9619408526625024,81818578.90576808,1.123836345311448,342.0,0.004885623349475829,6.252848085627444,61.57,81914672
2020-05-19,1.228977362088877,81818577.81559381,1.4358270378871605,513.0,0.005892379836306086,5.740119425736087,59.72,81914672
2020-05-20,1.569887509347751,81818576.42310806,1.8341349957866835,797.0,0.0073260062736151,5.738898643212536,59.72,81914672
2020-05-21,2.005337839266878,81818574.64436759,2.3429125828176027,745.0,0.009260108433583226,5.5093915287849775,59.72,81914672
2020-05-22,2.5615295148887993,81818572.37226464,2.9927833152684924,460.0,0.01179815616955098,4.956377045616444,59.72,81914672
2020-05-23,3.2719147915755338,81818569.47001195,3.822850486055115,638.0,0.015074284413086498,4.978351131040358,59.72,81914672
2020-05-24,4.179197180885471,81818565.76293184,4.883039293566477,431.0,0.019262465032779248,4.79279218746063,59.72,81914672
2020-05-25,5.337879207628606,81818561.02798237,6.2370821097346525,289.0,0.024604534100657716,4.728090713712435,59.72,81914672
2020-05-26,6.783038588779932,81818554.98260427,7.964205010823749,432.0,0.031384834980933536,4.629207329304816,59.72,81914672
2020-05-27,8.5141520767893,81818547.32183692,10.123017149322056,362.0,0.03986227180377957,4.098166931560197,59.72,81914672
2020-05-28,10.51976195012214,81818537.76296797,12.727251207254007,353.0,0.05025653195641164,3.6196201823282643,59.72,81914672
2020-05-29,12.784583710126615,81818526.04305597,15.769074593105682,741.0,0.06273665785527116,3.962660071446053,59.72,81914672
2020-05-30,15.313235010956845,81818511.91488789,19.232669633577867,738.0,0.07743649113957132,4.084738323801138,59.72,81914672
2020-05-31,18.16572017206923,81818495.11286528,23.124601138218974,286.0,0.09451099397245058,3.907724857886265,59.72,81914672
2020-06-01,21.504549436399234,81818475.2776332,27.52160641942984,333.0,0.11424698245174356,3.9614392889225023,59.72,81914672
2020-06-02,25.490858660023044,81818451.83688705,32.62765404387245,213.0,0.13708516224845094,3.6940879162648663,59.72,81914672
2020-06-03,30.212825456921053,81818424.05153775,38.677766665033715,342.0,0.1635745234951538,3.66967226579385,59.72,81914672
2020-06-04,35.80363482773577,81818391.1218827,45.84357608128395,394.0,0.1944406336318258,3.719724349259434,59.72,81914672
2020-06-05,42.42078903440999,81818352.10245709,54.32833497458282,507.0,0.23061999515607554,3.434061238748536,59.72,81914672
2020-06-06,50.24939088544205,81818305.8768418,64.37131976333248,407.0,0.2732694436876954,3.0299822234532052,59.72,81914672
2020-06-07,59.50659825198018,81818251.12788187,76.25381143536349,301.0,0.323737665155897,3.048293961306468,59.72,81914672
2020-06-08,70.44664269808034,81818186.30316965,90.30590596467523,214.0,0.38348531727575297,2.903020841003917,59.72,81914672
2020-06-09,82.55135515806089,81818109.62719202,106.86431325976363,350.0,0.453143774185692,3.0702680467303836,59.72,81914672
2020-06-10,94.47502529572144,81818020.23333782,125.40004795994165,318.0,0.5315939446738317,3.040969266165163,59.72,81914672
2020-06-11,104.96173349929434,81817919.00763561,144.29178461366809,555.0,0.6160209428940755,3.237515252456849,59.72,81914672
2020-06-12,113.09700254000754,81817808.06537941,161.74601958808492,258.0,0.7023012291724573,2.933540404092688,59.72,81914672
2020-06-13,118.7176593515471,81817690.20678224,176.29829829953607,348.0,0.785886094733666,2.861514235203188,59.72,81914672
2020-06-14,122.62125120140232,81817568.01159322,187.35054925747122,247.0,0.8629353600342976,2.795591978931442,59.72,81914672
2020-06-15,126.52879252378104,81817442.83482513,195.52780952189948,192.0,0.9313994684246732,2.7687347634133235,59.72,81914672
2020-06-16,131.12829090785394,81817314.02865343,202.67355078491445,378.0,0.990701342635673,2.802916674072747,59.72,81914672
2020-06-17,135.88533829199721,81817180.53449799,210.06688720193662,345.0,1.041254329036297,2.83587780220862,59.72,81914672
2020-06-18,140.79609437964527,81817042.20674051,217.7021354836804,580.0,1.0850002905416436,2.866397365297391,63.43,81914672
2020-06-19,145.86414965261184,81816898.889876,225.58517241292753,770.0,1.1250018510833306,3.4914380173554256,63.43,81914672
2020-06-20,151.09307781732693,81816750.42481662,233.72186777171413,601.0,1.164525196139,3.8002959958137903,63.43,81914672
2020-06-21,156.48642702650898,81816596.64891295,242.11807140802867,687.0,1.2058672109432669,4.3374403061761635,63.43,81914672
2020-06-22,162.04771054799235,81816437.39598396,250.7795994204925,537.0,1.2492280853226592,4.758610276801206,63.43,81914672
2020-06-23,167.7803968775553,81816272.49635696,259.71221944917727,503.0,1.2939723357418045,4.911208092245062,63.43,81914672
2020-06-24,173.6878992957725,81816101.77691744,268.9216350650604,587.0,1.3401210415606781,5.206637462944367,63.43,81914672
2020-06-25,179.77356487244094,81815925.06116979,278.4134692554954,630.0,1.3877040563505019,5.26767658912191,63.43,81914672
2020-06-26,186.0406629259928,81815742.16930921,288.1932470085003,477.0,1.4367508416118542,4.909987309721511,63.43,81914672
2020-06-27,192.4923729495306,81815552.91830547,298.2663770046501,687.0,1.487290377596572,5.014974606746884,63.43,81914672
2020-06-28,199.1317720196859,81815357.12199901,308.63813243190833,256.0,1.5393510694750392,4.488817339096468,63.43,81914672
2020-06-29,205.96182170939923,81815154.59120978,319.313630945838,262.0,1.5929606489181538,4.153102145119985,63.43,81914672
2020-06-30,212.9853545309525,81814945.1338596,330.2978138052972,498.0,1.6481460711992773,4.146998232502231,63.43,81914672
2020-07-01,220.20505994110934,81814728.5551081,341.5954242219156,466.0,1.7049334079603118,3.9992835471525785,63.43,81914672
2020-07-02,227.62346994603047,81814504.65750295,353.21098497035314,503.0,1.763347735827717,3.8442441666616207,63.43,81914672
2020-07-03,235.24294434968726,81814273.24114467,365.1487753155145,446.0,1.8234130211085937,3.8063999084315445,63.43,81914672
2020-07-04,243.06565569574715,81814034.10386635,377.41280732248714,422.0,1.8851520008437703,3.4828925396905697,63.43,81914672
2020-07-05,251.0935739593289,81813787.04142855,390.0068016249298,239.0,1.9485860605438972,3.462139236790205,63.43,81914672
2020-07-06,259.3284510515273,81813531.84772956,402.93416273788483,219.0,2.0137351089855833,3.409645588277519,63.43,81914672
2020-07-07,267.7718052061685,81813268.31503132,416.1979540114457,390.0,2.080617450497267,3.2778010757340272,55.09,81914672
2020-07-08,276.42490532475654,81812996.23420087,429.8008723322701,397.0,2.1492496552183544,3.193567081609019,55.09,81914672
2020-07-09,285.2887553619757,81812715.39496756,443.74522269049726,442.0,2.219646427869712,3.119099347672417,55.09,81914672
2020-07-10,294.36407884029546,81812425.5861957,458.0328927400607,395.0,2.291820475628346,3.056839438971324,55.09,81914672
2020-07-11,303.65130358812195,81812126.59617266,472.66532749057404,378.0,2.365782375753362,3.0031250079350866,55.09,81914672
2020-07-12,313.15054680143186,81811818.21291208,487.64350427873785,248.0,2.4415404436634716,3.0141120506470442,55.09,81914672
2020-07-13,322.86160053381076,81811500.22447178,502.967908176435,159.0,2.5191006022175864,2.940865099233993,55.09,81914672
2020-07-14,332.7839177242069,81811172.41928594,518.6385080011714,412.0,2.598466252998729,2.9677223147521117,55.09,81914672
2020-07-15,342.916598875359,81810834.58651094,534.6547331021143,351.0,2.6796381504466034,2.911566318668773,55.09,81914672
2020-07-16,353.25837949870566,81810486.51638417,551.01545110151,534.0,2.7626142797250433,3.0238783108354506,55.09,81914672
2020-07-17,363.8076184434565,81810128.00059488,567.7189467765428,583.0,2.8473897392460934,3.2533854252630103,55.09,81914672
2020-07-18,374.56228722838114,81809758.83266626,584.762902270556,529.0,2.933956628801922,3.4377235863191884,55.09,81914672
2020-07-19,385.5199604945736,81809378.80834775,602.1443788248347,202.0,3.022303944278131,3.381567590235849,55.09,81914672
2020-07-20,396.67780769595225,81808987.72601604,619.8598002226669,249.0,3.1124174799364823,3.4914380173554256,55.09,81914672
2020-07-21,408.0325861414475,81808585.38708396,637.9049381360294,522.0,3.2042797392607216,3.625724094946019,55.09,81914672
2020-07-22,419.58063549866137,81808171.59641543,656.274899561842,454.0,3.297869855355312,3.7514646948717565,55.09,81914672
2020-07-23,431.31787386320985,81807746.16274525,674.9641165291874,569.0,3.3931635218727143,3.794192083196036,55.09,81914672
2020-07-24,443.23979549095264,81807308.89910191,693.9663382511326,815.0,3.4901329354198944,4.077413628659833,55.09,81914672
2020-07-25,455.3414702818623,81806859.62323184,713.2746258847278,781.0,3.588746750358299,4.3850508245946465,55.09,81914672
2020-07-26,467.6175450944314,81806398.15802333,732.8813500503998,305.0,3.6889700468635427,4.510791424520384,55.09,81914672
2020-07-27,480.0622469582512,81805924.33192803,752.7781912472914,340.0,3.7907643130510444,4.621882634163511,55.09,81914672
2020-07-28,492.66938823986277,81805437.9793784,772.9561432841843,633.0,3.8940874419020215,4.757389494277655,55.09,81914672
2020-07-29,505.43237380317044,81804938.94119902,793.40551982654,684.0,3.998893743640627,5.03816947469435,55.09,81914672
2020-07-30,518.3442101908637,81804427.06500955,814.1159641390828,902.0,4.105133974118086,5.444690055036783,55.09,81914672
2020-07-31,531.3975168366132,81803902.2056177,835.0764620790109,870.0,4.212755379652933,5.511833093832079,57.87,81914672